Rain exits the Northeast but not the Mid Atlantic. Rain and storms from Upper Midwest to Texas Gulf Coast. Some showers in the Northwest. Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green...marginal.
Below - temperature projections for Friday...followed by animated maps for the next 2 days...and ending with amounts of rainfall through the weekend. A very unsettled weather pattern for the next few days...turning more stable next week. Until then...be safe.
Radar showing wet weather headed east from Great Lakes and Ohio Valley with locally heavy rain continuing along the Texas coast. Severe weather over The Plains. Below - animated maps for the next 2 days.
Below - rainfall amounts over the next 5 days...that includes upcoming weekend....followed by high temperatures for Thursday....first day of Summer.
Satellite and radar show a cold front dropping down across the Northeast...so 90s yesterday will be 80s today will less humidity. Elsewhere...summerlike. More heavy rains for Midwest...Northern Rockies...and along the Texas Gulf Coast. Below - today's risk of severe weather is dark green and yellow.
Below - animated maps for next couple of days followed by amount of rainfall for the next 5 days.
Lastly - temperature projections for Wednesday....the last day of Spring 2018. AMEN ! Be safe.
After several soggy weekends, most places in the Mid-Atlantic to New England should see a completely dry and sunny weekend, the last one of Spring. Many locations like Hagerstown, MD, have seen six straight wet weekends but that string will thankfully come to an end. It will be heating up here as well though humidity values should remain low to moderate into Sunday. A couple of hot, humid days are ahead Monday to Tuesday in most of the Northeast before a cold front drops temperatures and humidity values by Wednesday.
There will be rounds of thunderstorms in the North Central states and Upper Midwest today into Sunday night. Storms could bring hail to golf ball size, damaging wind gusts, flash flooding and an isolated tornado or two, particularly in northern Minnesota.
South of that area, a high pressure ridge will bring dangerous heat to areas of the Midwest including Minneapolis, St. Louis and Chicago. Heat index values will be near 100 today and tomorrow in Minneapolis and Chicago and near 110 in St. Louis. Cooler temps will arrive in the Twin Cities by Monday and in Chicago and St. Louis by Tuesday.
Elsewhere scattered thunderstorms will locally heavy rain will affect areas of the Rocky Mountain states this weekend.
Showers in Northern New England will die out today. Heavy rain and storms will haunt the upper Midwest through the weekend. Bud is over Baja spreading rain into the Southwest. Tropical disturbance moves across Gulf. Below.....today's risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow.
Below...paths of BUd and tropical disturbance over Gulf.
Above...animated maps for the next couple....which really do not change much. Below - expected rainfall for the next 5-7 days. Be safe and have a nice weekend.
Satellite-radar shows a vigorous low in Quebec Canada which will give the Northeast a nice sunny - dry - windy day today. "Bud" continue to move north toward Baja California. Elsewhere - areas of showers and thunderstorms. Below- today's risk of severe weather in dark green - yellow and orange.
Below - a tropical disturbance will move across the Gulf......while Bud moves into The SOuthwest.
Below - rainfall expected over the 5 days. Heaviest - Northern and Southern most of the Nation. That's followed by animated maps for the next 2 days.
Satellite/radar show showers and thunderstorms headed for the East Coast....and over The Southern Plains. Hurricane Bud in lower left corner...drifting north. Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow.
Below - track of Hurricane Bud in the Pacific...and possibly a new tropical disturbance moving toward the Gulf of Mexico...although that does not look too promising.
Animated maps below for the next 2 days. Trend is for warmer weather to build from Central U.S. eastward toward the east coast by late weekend sending temps into the 90s .
Following - rainfall amounts for the next 5 days.....followed by lightning strikes as of early Wednesday morning. Be safe.
Satellite-radar shows storms in Center of the Nation.and across the Carolinas and SOutheast. Lower left corner is Hurricane Bud which will head toward Baja and send moisture to the SOuthwest. Disturbanmce south of Cuba could head for SOuthern Texas. Below - track of Hurricane Bud.....followed by today's severe threat in dark green and yellow.
The best weather today is in The Northeast. Below animaed maps for the next 2 days.....followed by rainfall amounts for the next 5-7 days.
Below - high temperatures expected for Wednesday. Enjoy. Be safe.
The persistent cool and off-and-on rainy pattern should give way to more Summer-like warmth later this week and into next week for the East.
Major flooding in the Mid-Atlantic was the result of a stalled frontal system that is currently weakening and sliding off of the coast. The jet stream will retreat to a Summer position as we go through the week allowing warmer air to move in from the middle of the country. Rain chances will also be fairly minimal in the Northeast through at least Monday, while the Midwest will see rounds of thunderstorms this week.
A storm system will track across southern Canada with a training front on Wednesday that will bring scattered thunderstorms from parts of the Mid-Atlantic to New England. Some severe storms may be possible Wednesday afternoon, especially in northern New York state and New England.
A mostly dry pattern will follow Thursday into Father's Day Weekend. Many areas in the Northeast that have been cool will see highs in the 80s to near 90 degrees.
- Anthony Jay 1045A Monday, 6/11/18
Satellite/radar shows stormy weather in Plains...headed east and should affect Mid Atlantic and South...leaving most of the Northeast dry for the weekend. Lower left...Pacific tropical storm not moving much. Below..today's risk of severe weather in green and yellow.
Below - animated maps for the next couple of days followed by projected rainfall through Tuesday of next week.
Below...temperatures expected for Saturday. Be safe and enjoy the weekend.
Satellite and radar shows heavy thunderstorms in Western Plains..otherwise quiet. You can see the latest tropical storm in the Pacific...in lower left corner of the screen. Below - today's severe threat of weather in dark green and yellow.
above...today's high temperatures.
Above....animated maps for the next couple. Models show that the next wave of rain will be more likely for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast could remain mostly dry for the weekend. Below - projected rainfall for the next 5 days. Be safe.
Above - satellite + radar show showers and storms in upper Midwest likely to reach the Northeast this weekend. How fast they move out will determine whether the weekend will be a washout or not. Storms in Texas and Gulf States. Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow.
Above- expected high temperatures for today......heat in South - cool Northeast. Below - animated maps for the next 2 days followed by expected rainfall through the weekend. Be safe.
Satellite + radar shows a cold front moving rapidly down across the Great Lakes. It will produce showers and thunderstorms in The Northeast late today followed by another cool air mass. More thunderstorm in Northern Plains could reach the East by the weekend. Sizzling weather continues in the Southern Plains. Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green - yellow and tan.
Below - animated maps for the next 2 days.....followed by rainfall projections into this weekend.
Below - expected weather map for Sunday.....showing more wet weather in the Northeast.......followed by expected temperatures for this Sunday. Notice the unseasonably cool air across the North. This could be a sign of the summer to come. Be safe.
Satellite + radar showers showers moving across the Northeast today...more in Ohio Valley. Showers in Rockies will head north then southeast....so lots of different systems. Not sure how the Northeast will fare this weekend....but New England could easily win out with sun breaking out Saturday afternoon and continuing Sunday. From NYC south..sticky Saturday with showers and a thunderstorm....then at least some sun Sunday. Makings of a northeast Monday and Tuesday could present the northeast and mid Atlantic will rain and wind....if storm stays closer to coast. Below....today's severe threat is dark green - yellow and tan.
Below - animated maps for next 2 days followed by amounts of rainfall for the next 5 days.
Lastly - expected temperatures for Saturday. Heatwave continues for the South Central. Be safe - have a nice weekend.
Satellite-radar shows moisture from Great Lakes to Southeast....moving north and this flow not likely to change into weekend. Heavy thunderstorms in So. Plains moves east to join this band over next couple. Showers in No. Rockies make it to Northeast early next week to continue an unusual spell of wet - unsettled weather. Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green...yellow and tan.
Below - temperatures for Friday. Heatwave in South Central. Followed by animated maps for the next couple.
The upper air will produce a trof over the Northeast this weekend...which will cause a low off the Midatlantic with wet weather . Another trof over the Great Lakes will dive in to reform this trof next week with another storm off the Mid Atlantic. It all means cooler than normal and wetter than normal for the Northeast and Mid Atlantic. Below - upper air for Saturday...followed by amounts of rain for the next 5 days. Be safe.
Satellite above is from the new Goes 16 - showing global view from Pacific to Atlantic....will come in handy during this hurricane season. Below...satellite/radar combo showing Alberto remains in Kentucky and moving northward.
Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow followed by predicted high temperatures for this afternoon.
Following maps show animated systems for the next 2 days followed by predicted rain through this weekend. Hard to say if the rainfall will verify over The Northeast this weekend as New England could stay north of the wet weather....will look at that tomorrow. Be safe.
Satellite + radar show Alberto moving across Alabama with a large plume of moisture covering the Eastern Half of The Nation. Add to that an active front in the Plains and you have a very cloudy - sometimes soggy pattern for much of the Eastern 2/3 of the Nation. Do not expect this to change much into this weekend. Below - track of remains of Alberto. He actually may head from Canada back south to mess things up for the Northeast this weekend.
Below - today's threat of severe weather in dark green and yellow - followed by animated maps for the next 2 days.
Lastly - rainfall predictions into Saturday morning. Be safe.
Above- satellite + radar shows front in Midwest moving east...moisture in SE moving north...add to that a tropical disturbance moving into the Gulf and lots of cloudy unsettled weather this weekend for the Eastern third of the Nation. Below - today's threat of severe weather in dark and green.
Below - map showing tropical formation followed by map of the various tracks from computer models. This system will haunt the U.S. all of next week...so be prepared.
Below - animated maps for the next 2 days followed by rainfall projections for the next 5 days which includes the holiday weekend. Have a nice and safe weekend....weather or not.
Stormy weather in The Plains heading east...will arrive on East Coast this weekend. Tropical disturbance south of Cuba - headed north with its moisture....all converging in the East this weekend. Northeast will see a front drop in from the North and stall. Showers and storms from Saturday late into Monday. Below - threat of severe weather today - in dark green and yellow.
Below - animated maps for the next couple of days followed by expected rainfall for the next 5 days. While the holiday weekend will not feature heavy rain for Northeast....Sunday & Monday looked to be cloudy and cool with some rain or showers.
Below - from the hurricane center...area they are watching and possible tracks. Currently too much sheer for this system to really form...but in time that could change and a tropical depression or storm could threaten the Gulf Coast. If they name it...it would be Alberto. Be safe.
Cool front moving off the East Coast will supress tropical moisture for rest of week. Front in No. Plains heads east and it will combine with tropical moisture to move north again and mess things up over Holiday weekend for East. Below - today's threat of severe weather -- dark green and yellow.
Following maps show predictions of where a tropical system could form and it's possible track this weekend.
Below- animated maps for the next 2 days and then projected rainfall for the next 5 days. Be safe.
Showers moving into Northeast today and tonight....not a big deal. Tropical moisture stream north thru Florida and Southeast. Can already see the makings of a disturbance south of Cuba. No matter where that goes..the stream of moisture will head north to affect the East this holiday weekend. Below - today's threat of severe weather in dark green.
Below - hurricane center's outlook....which we agree with based on satellite pictures...and computer models.
Below- different models take on tropical disturbance in Gulf. Most saying Saturday...GFS - Sunday. However...look at moisture streaming well north of the system.
Below - rainfall expected through Saturday.....followed by animated maps for next 2 days. Be safe.
Looking at above satellite + radar you can see the stream of moisture moving north across Florida while showers and storms in Mississippi Valley more east. This will all continue over The East Tuesday into Wednesday. By late week - a tropical system will move into The Gulf. At the same time a front in Rockies approach the East Coast....not a winning combination for Memorial Day Weekend if you are in the East. Below - today's risk of severe weather - dark green and yellow.
Below - animated maps for the next 2 days....followed by rainfall predictions for the next 5 days. Rainfall only goes out through Friday...so by the holiday weekend - it will expand north to cover New England.
Satellite/radar looks like the same one from yesterday and the day before...but it isn't. Pattern not changing much through Sunday. Things will begin to change next week...for the better many places..others ..for worse. Below - today's risk of severe weather - dark green and yellow.
Below - animated maps for the weekend followed by rainfall predictions for the next 7 days.
Since the GFS Model is the only model that goes out for 15 days....it has been predicting a tropical system for Gulf for Memorial Day Weekend for over 2 weeks now. It has not backed off...and now the Euro is also seeing it. Hard to say where it will go...but below is the GFS prediction for Saturday of Memorial Day Weekend...showing either a tropical storm or hurricane for FLorida. We will be watching it and keeping you posted. Have a nice and safe weekend.
All of these maps look the same as Monday...simply...patterns haven't changed. Wet weather for The East right thru the weekend. Showers and storms in NW moving east. Southwest hot and dry. Below - today's risk of thunderstorms in green and yellow...shifts to Plains.
Below- animated maps for next two days followed by rainfall for the next 7 days. A tropical like disturbance in Gulf will get absorbed by flow and head north only to enhance rainfall for the East. Over Memorial Day weekend...odds favor a significant tropical system in Gulf....it's path - too far out to call but will watch that. Be safe.
Ring of Fire......when a high near Bermuda sits and moisture moves clockwise around the high pumping moisture from the Gulf up across the East as you can see on satellite - radar pix above. This pattern will not change any time too soon. So best weather Northern Plains. Below...today's risk of severe weather in ark green.
Below - animated maps for the next 2 days followed by amounts of rain for the next 5 days.
Lastly....satellite of tropics....still a possible tropical disturbance in Gulf which will get absorbed by the flow and head north. Be safe.
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.