Severe weather expected in Upper Midwest today. That system may become unusually active for Northeast this Friday. Below - chances of severe weather today.....dark green to orange.
Above - current weather map showing storminess in Plains. Below - animation showing how those systems will move in next couple.
All models show system in Plains headed for Northeast Friday. The GFS is the least aggressive - The Euro - the most. Below...3 models and their outlook for this Friday in Northeast.
Below - hemispheric picture showing the tropical system all lined up in Pacific. Be safe.
Heavy rain and storms Northeast and Mid Atlantic. Monsoons in Southwest. Elsewhere - quiet - summerlike. Below - today's threat of severe weather...marginal - dark green.
Below - today's weather map.....followed by animated maps for the next 2 days .
Above - rainfall amounts for the next 5 days. Heaviest likely in the Northeast. Below...a look at the tropical Western Pacific. Very active...while Atlantic...very quiet.
Today there's a multiple heat waves across the country with less than 1% of the United States under 80° for its high today. Those outliers include the very NW tip of Washington state, certain coastal areas like Los Angeles and San Diego, and the northern edge of North Dakota and Minnesota along the Canadian border, however at least 99% will see temps above 80° and 60% will see temps above 90°. The highest temps are central plains between 100° and 102° stretching from norther Texas, into Nebraska, parts of southern Texas, and all the way north into Montana with 105°F. Another area is near the Mojave Desert in SE California, the southern tip of Nevada, and SW Arizona, topping out at Death Valley with a high of 116° for today, up to 117° by Friday.
The heat doesn't look to break for a few days, as tomorrow the same areas will still see similar highs, with parts of northern California also breaching the 100°, with 70% of the country over 90° and many more approaching the 100° mark.
Stay cool and have water on you at all times.
For the tropics, it's night and day when talking about the Atlantic and the Pacific. While there was one possible system to form in the mid Atlantic with a 30% chance of forming into a TS over the next few days, it weakened and no longer has the energy to sustain its growth.
The Pacific however is another story entirely. From west to east:
Hurricane Fernanda out in front. Yesterday it was 90MPH and is now down to 70MPH today, in 36 hours it will drop even further to a weak TS and by Sunday night it will affect Hawaii as a tropical depression around 35 MPH.
Tropical depression 8E is right behind that at 35MPH. It's slow moving and almost stationary, and it will dissipate before becoming a tropical storm, because:
Tropical storm Greg at 40-45MPH is right behind it and combine with 8E as it first turns into a hurricane late Saturday night before dropping back down to a tropical storm.
Behind that there’s a cluster of thunderstorms that has a 70% chance of forming into a tropical storm over the 24 hours, 90% over the next few days.
And finally behind that just off the west coast of Costa Rica there’s yet another cluster of storms, only a 10% chance of forming into a TS over the next 48 hours but up to a 60% over the next 5 days.
Nice climate we have here.
Satellite-radar pix shows storms from the Southwest to Northeast. Areas shifts south over weekend and then back north. Below...today's risk of severe weather in dark green...yellow.
Below....today's weather map....followed by animated maps for the weekend.
Below- track and satellite picture of Hurricane Fernanda...in Pacific off Mexico.
Finally...GFS Model doing it again...trying to boil up a hurricane by end of July. If there is one...anyone's guess where it will be. On vacation next week...see ya then....be safe.
Humid - warm much of the Nation...storms from Rockies to Great Lakes....typical of July. Below...today's severe outlook .
Below....today's weather map...followed by animated maps for the next couple of days.
Below...2 maps: first - amount of rainfall for the next 7 days...2nd - how daytime temperatures will average for the next 7 days. Tropics remain quiet...enjoy your summer weather.
Satellite- radar shows storms to continue over SOutheast.....Midwest & Ohio Valley..and Rockies. Below...today's weather map showing weather systems associated with these storms followed by map showing potential for severe weather today in dark green - yellow - brown.
Current tropical outlook for Atlantic. GFS Model takes this system and makes it a hurricane and aims it for Florida. It did that with last system which never made it to "Don". Below...Pacific Hurricane Eugene with 105 mph winds expected to weaken.
Above - satellite of Eugene....still healthy but as it moves over cooler waters it should weaken. Below...animated maps for the next couple of days. Be safe.
Satellite - radar shows weather on the move with a couple of fronts in the East..and more showers in The West. Below...today's weather map followed by threat of severe weather.
Below...our tropical depression - which may not intensify and just fall apart.
Below - animate surface maps taking through the weekend. Be safe.
Above...new tropical depression in Atlantic. Predictions are for it to stay a depression but if it becomes a storm it will be given the name Don. Below...track by hurricane center.
Above - radar satellite showing clusters of storms from Texas to Mid Atlantic and moving into Great Lakes. Below...today's weather map....showing why these storms are brewing.
Below...today's risk of severe weather - dark green - yellow- brown...followed by animated weather maps into Friday. Be safe.
Satellite & radar show clusters of storms fro Texas to Mid Atlantic and over the Upper Midwest. Southern storms moving slowly north. Below..severe threat today...in dark green.
Today's weather map below. Not looking for much change in next couple of days.
In the tropics...Don may be forming. Below...maps showing likely area..a satellite picture of that disturbance right now...followed by possible tracks into Saturday.
A wavy front extends from New England to Southern Plains. Eastern part of front drops down to Mid Atlantic...allowing for improving weather in Northeast Monday-Tuesday.....while western end of the front continues to cause storms into the 4th. Below...find severe risk for today & Saturday.
Below...today's weather map. Following....GFS Model for each evening to July 4th.
Above - Saturday evening. Green shows moisture - indicating showers and thunderstorms. Find your area...and read it and weep or smile.
Above - Sunday evening.
Above - Monday evening
Above - Tuesday evening - the 4th. Be safe and have a nice holiday weekend.
Satellite - radar shows a front from Great Lakes to Central Plains. This front will be draped from Northeast to Plains through July 4th. It will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms especially to it's south. Below..today's severe risk of severe weather - dark green and yellow.
Above - current surface map. Below - weather map in motion for next couple.
Current satellite of Atlantic basin. Although quiet...system off African coast needs to be watched but many days away from The U.S. Be safe.
Above...satellite + radar shows stormy weather in upper Midwest. That area will elongate and stretch out to Northern New England - back through Midwest over next few days. Below - current weather map followed by map for severe weather - dark green and yellow - orange.
Below - maps for amounts of rainfall over the next 7 days....includes the entire holiday weekend...followed by "how temperatures will average" for the next week.
Below ..sequence weather maps for next couple.....followed by a broadview of Atlantic Basin...showing tropical waves from Africa to Gulf of Mexico. Be safe.
A front in the east will cause some showers in Northeast today. Showers and storms along the Gulf Coast...more showers Northern Rockies. Below...today's weather map followed by the threat map for severe weather - dark green and yellow.
Below...sequence of weather for the next couple of days.
Below...Atlantic basin potential for forming tropical systems...off African coast. Followed by current track for Hurricane Dora in the Pacific.
Lastly - projected high temperatures for July 4th - 2017. Be safe.
A trof is the East will keep them fair - seasonable with some pop up showers and thundershowers in Northeast. Storms in Texas...showers in Pacific Northwest and Great Lakes. Below - today's weather map.
Below - today's severe risk of storms - dark green.
Above - weather map in motion. Below - Hurricane Dora....Pacific.
Satellite-radar shows storms with a front from Great Lakes to Midwest..and left over rain from Cindy Mid Atlantic to Gulf.
Above - current weather map.....below - risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow...followed by rain threat from Cindy.
Below - hurricane hazard map - depicting best areas for hurricanes now.
Below - weather map for Saturday....so you can plan your outdoor activities accordingly.
Map below shows upper air for next week. Jet stream flattens out...allowing for heat to stay in south....and seasonable weather most elsewhere. Have a safe weekend.
Tropical storm Cinda made landfall over SW Louisiana - now has 40 mph winds and lots of rain. Should continue as a depression into Ohio Valley through Friday. See track below....followed by severe outlook for today.
Todays map shows wet weather with Cindy in Gulf States toOhio Valley
- yellow showing severe storms.....red - flash flooding. Below...upper air flow for next week which shows trof over East....cooler....ridge over West - hot. Be safe.
Tropical Storm Cindy with 60 mph winds heads for Louisana.....life threatening rains for parts of the Gulf Coast. Below- Cindy's track.
Below - marine concerns with Cindy.
Below - today's weather map followed by threat of severe weather in dark green and yellow.
Below - rainfall totals for the next 7 days - followed by how temperatures will average for the rest of June.
Lastly - a look at the national satellite and radar. Be safe.
Satellite above shows 2 tropical disturbances: 1 - Brett - Windward Islands..... 2 - In Gulf of Mexico - headed north - producing wet weather through Gulf States and soon to be named Cindy. Below...immediate tracks.....followed by long range tracks. ( Brett then Cindy)
Below - today's map - followed by risk of severe weather in green and yellow.
Tropical system in Gulf will head north and it's moisture does likewise and then turns eastward....perhaps bringing tropical flooding rains to Mid Atlantic this weekend. Be safe.
The East Coast under the gun today for severe weather from Maine to N.Carolina. Some tornadoes are also possible. Below - current satellite and radar which already shows action in the East...so with sun...it should only get worse.
Above - amounts of rainfall expected over the next 24 hours. Below - today's weather map showing severe weather in yellow...and flash flooding in red.
Below - Atlantic Basin: 2 systems....1 in the Gulf which could become Brett..2nd - in Carribean which should become Cindy. Their expected tracks are listed as well. Be safe.
Satellite-radar shows 2 bands of moisture over Eastern half of the nation which will haunt them all weekend. Very hot weather takes over in Southwest. Below....risk of severe weather today in dark green - yellow and orange.
Above - today's weather map. Below - rainfall for Sunday - dad's day...looks like Appalachians get the brunt of it.
Below - how temperatures will average over the next 7 days....above normal - most of the Nation - followed by tropical basic outlook...which is zooming in on the Gulf of Mexico. Be safe...Happy Father's Day to all our dads.
Today's map shows lots of cloudy - showery weather with the exception of the Northeast and Southwest. Below - best threat of severe weather today.
Satellite- radar shows thunderstorms in Midwest - headed east.
Below - map for Saturday....showing extensive chance for showers over the Nation.....not much better for Sunday.
Below - rainfall expected for the next 7 days. Stay safe.
Cooler air spreading into Northeast. Thunderstorms Midwest. Heat builds in Southwest. Below - today's severe threat - yellow- orange - greatest risk.
Below - today's weather map.....followed by current temperatures. Notice how much cooler it is in The Northeast...after places like Newark N.J. hit 99 yesterday.
Lastly - a look at the Atlantic tropical basin showing a disturbance off the African coast. Mighty early in the season for something in that area...although chances are low...we will watch it. Be safe.
Storms in Great Lakes move to Northeast and end the heatwave there. Strong storms Rockies into Upper Midwest today. Below - severe risk for today.....dark green to orange.
Below - today's weather map and today's expected high temperatures. Most of the Nation - hot.
Since last week the Canadian Model has been forecasting either a tropical storm or hurricane to hit the Gulf Coast about 1 week from now. Below is the latest Canadian Model for next Wednesday. No other model doing such...so this will be a good test for tropical forecasting and models. Be safe.
Satellite-radar picture shows soggy weather in The Southeast...heavy storms Great Lakes and Northern Rockies. Elsewhere - summertime. Below...early morning Monday temperatures.....already quite warm and the sun still not up.
Below - today's risk of severe weather. Dark green - yellow to orange. Best chance of severe weather today into Rockies.
Today's weather map showing best chance of rain and storms in Northern Rockies and Plains. Below...a short-lived cool down for the Northeast come Thursday/Friday.
Below - GFS Model for Saturday. Looks very unsettled for the Eastern Half of the Nation. Be safe.
Coastal low bringing wet weather to New England...some storms Texas and Northern Rockies. Below - today's weather map......showing warmth over much of the Nation.
Don't expect the weather to change much through the weekend. Below - today's risk of severe weather - again dark green and yellow.
Below - high temperatures expected for this coming Monday - and next Friday. Notice the cool down on a National basis.
Finally - a look at Atlantic Basin - all is quiet in the tropics but models still showing something in the Gulf by last weekend of June...we'll see. Have a nice weekend - stay cool.
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.