Sat pix early a.m. show what appears to be an easterly wave in the se Gulf Of Mexico. Almost all models are picking up on this now...so I feel more confident that our forecasts from last week will verify for late this week. Hard to say if this will produce any significant wind...but a rain-maker it will be especially inland away from coast.
Above, Canadian model, which was most aggressive this week...continues as much this a.m. placing the tropical system right along the mid-atlantic coast on Friday. This model would indicate gusty winds & rain.
Above, The GFS for Saturday nite shows the tropical system (open ) right over NYC/L.I.
The Euro...above...is closer to Canadian but slower...nevertheless...in the same camp.
Finally, map above shows QPF from Thursday into Saturday....so as I pointed out last week - one big tropical mess for The Easter Half of the Nation. So after nice weather...very unsettled for late week into part of the weekend. Later.
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.