Basically fair weather for much of the Nation. Heatwave hits the Pacific Northwest - temps there head for 100 as week progresses. Tropical disturbance in Gulf moves across Florida with heavy rains. Below...current weather map followed by animation for next couple of days.
Below....Atlantic tropical outlook.
Below - current expected track for disturbance in Gulf of Mexico.
Below - high temperatures expected Thursday....notice the Pacific Northwest. Stay safe.
A cool front dropping south brings showers to Northeast. A storm in mid section of Nation heads east and brings stormy weather to Northeast this weekend. Below - severe outlook for today.....dark green areas.
Below - current map followed by animated tracks for next couple of days.
Below - tropical outlook for Atlantic - still quiet.
Below - 4 computer models and their take on storm for Northeast and Mid Atlantic this Saturday. Of the 4 - The Canadian Model is well south and makes nothing of it...while other 3 models juice it up. The Euro gives the Mid Atlantic over 7" of rain into Tuesday next week. Be safe.
System in Plains will head east. Looks like it may move further south and have a direct affect on Mid Atlantic Friday-Saturday...and only fringe Southern New England. Hot Southwest. Below - severe weather outlook for today.
Above- current map showing storm in Upper Midwest. This is the system that will have a major effect to East Coast. Still not sure exactly who will get the heaviest rain. Below...animated maps showing likely movement.
Above map for rainfall - next 5 days...showing heaviest from Central New Jersey to West Virginia and south.....as well as Southeast Coast...and into Rockies. Below....map showing likelihood for tropical development in next few weeks.
Severe weather expected in Upper Midwest today. That system may become unusually active for Northeast this Friday. Below - chances of severe weather today.....dark green to orange.
Above - current weather map showing storminess in Plains. Below - animation showing how those systems will move in next couple.
All models show system in Plains headed for Northeast Friday. The GFS is the least aggressive - The Euro - the most. Below...3 models and their outlook for this Friday in Northeast.
Below - hemispheric picture showing the tropical system all lined up in Pacific. Be safe.
Heavy rain and storms Northeast and Mid Atlantic. Monsoons in Southwest. Elsewhere - quiet - summerlike. Below - today's threat of severe weather...marginal - dark green.
Below - today's weather map.....followed by animated maps for the next 2 days .
Above - rainfall amounts for the next 5 days. Heaviest likely in the Northeast. Below...a look at the tropical Western Pacific. Very active...while Atlantic...very quiet.
Today there's a multiple heat waves across the country with less than 1% of the United States under 80° for its high today. Those outliers include the very NW tip of Washington state, certain coastal areas like Los Angeles and San Diego, and the northern edge of North Dakota and Minnesota along the Canadian border, however at least 99% will see temps above 80° and 60% will see temps above 90°. The highest temps are central plains between 100° and 102° stretching from norther Texas, into Nebraska, parts of southern Texas, and all the way north into Montana with 105°F. Another area is near the Mojave Desert in SE California, the southern tip of Nevada, and SW Arizona, topping out at Death Valley with a high of 116° for today, up to 117° by Friday.
The heat doesn't look to break for a few days, as tomorrow the same areas will still see similar highs, with parts of northern California also breaching the 100°, with 70% of the country over 90° and many more approaching the 100° mark.
Stay cool and have water on you at all times.
For the tropics, it's night and day when talking about the Atlantic and the Pacific. While there was one possible system to form in the mid Atlantic with a 30% chance of forming into a TS over the next few days, it weakened and no longer has the energy to sustain its growth.
The Pacific however is another story entirely. From west to east:
Hurricane Fernanda out in front. Yesterday it was 90MPH and is now down to 70MPH today, in 36 hours it will drop even further to a weak TS and by Sunday night it will affect Hawaii as a tropical depression around 35 MPH.
Tropical depression 8E is right behind that at 35MPH. It's slow moving and almost stationary, and it will dissipate before becoming a tropical storm, because:
Tropical storm Greg at 40-45MPH is right behind it and combine with 8E as it first turns into a hurricane late Saturday night before dropping back down to a tropical storm.
Behind that there’s a cluster of thunderstorms that has a 70% chance of forming into a tropical storm over the 24 hours, 90% over the next few days.
And finally behind that just off the west coast of Costa Rica there’s yet another cluster of storms, only a 10% chance of forming into a TS over the next 48 hours but up to a 60% over the next 5 days.
Nice climate we have here.
Satellite-radar pix shows storms from the Southwest to Northeast. Areas shifts south over weekend and then back north. Below...today's risk of severe weather in dark green...yellow.
Below....today's weather map....followed by animated maps for the weekend.
Below- track and satellite picture of Hurricane Fernanda...in Pacific off Mexico.
Finally...GFS Model doing it again...trying to boil up a hurricane by end of July. If there is one...anyone's guess where it will be. On vacation next week...see ya then....be safe.
Humid - warm much of the Nation...storms from Rockies to Great Lakes....typical of July. Below...today's severe outlook .
Below....today's weather map...followed by animated maps for the next couple of days.
Below...2 maps: first - amount of rainfall for the next 7 days...2nd - how daytime temperatures will average for the next 7 days. Tropics remain quiet...enjoy your summer weather.
Satellite- radar shows storms to continue over SOutheast.....Midwest & Ohio Valley..and Rockies. Below...today's weather map showing weather systems associated with these storms followed by map showing potential for severe weather today in dark green - yellow - brown.
Current tropical outlook for Atlantic. GFS Model takes this system and makes it a hurricane and aims it for Florida. It did that with last system which never made it to "Don". Below...Pacific Hurricane Eugene with 105 mph winds expected to weaken.
Above - satellite of Eugene....still healthy but as it moves over cooler waters it should weaken. Below...animated maps for the next couple of days. Be safe.
Satellite - radar shows weather on the move with a couple of fronts in the East..and more showers in The West. Below...today's weather map followed by threat of severe weather.
Below...our tropical depression - which may not intensify and just fall apart.
Below - animate surface maps taking through the weekend. Be safe.
Above...new tropical depression in Atlantic. Predictions are for it to stay a depression but if it becomes a storm it will be given the name Don. Below...track by hurricane center.
Above - radar satellite showing clusters of storms from Texas to Mid Atlantic and moving into Great Lakes. Below...today's weather map....showing why these storms are brewing.
Below...today's risk of severe weather - dark green - yellow- brown...followed by animated weather maps into Friday. Be safe.
Satellite & radar show clusters of storms fro Texas to Mid Atlantic and over the Upper Midwest. Southern storms moving slowly north. Below..severe threat today...in dark green.
Today's weather map below. Not looking for much change in next couple of days.
In the tropics...Don may be forming. Below...maps showing likely area..a satellite picture of that disturbance right now...followed by possible tracks into Saturday.
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.