Satellite/radar shows a front moving toward the east coast with showers and thunderstorms into Wednesday. Heat continues out west for mainly mountain thunderstorms.
Today's severe threat in dark green and yellow.
On today's map...cold front in Great Lakes will cause showers and thunderstorms over the east. Low moving out of Montana will result in storms over The Dakotas.
Map above is for Saturday - The 4th. If you are close to any of the fronts you see on the map...chances are will will at least have a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Below..you will see projections of rainfall from Friday into Sunday.
Above...projected afternoon temperatures for Saturday..the 4th. Be safe.
Satellite- radar doesn't look terrible...but it changes as the sun goes to work each day. System on Great Lakes heads to the east Tues and Wed. You'll notice out west that there is a circular motion - clockwise. Storms go south down the Rockies...then turn west toward California and head north up the coast. That will not change this week.
Map for today. Low in Ohio Valley will result in storms that may be severe.
Risk of severe weather today in dark green and yellow.
Amounts of rain expected from Thursday into Saturday...July 4th. Heaviest from Tennessee Valley to Southern New England.
Above....Japan model for Saturday....showing alow over the Great Lakes with showers and storms over the Eastern & southern thirds of the Nation.
Euro Model for Saturday...showing almost the same thing as the Japan Model. All of this could change and we will keep you posted on holiday weather. Be safe.
Satellite/Radar showing clusters of rain and storms fron Kansas to North Carolina. This area will head north to affect Ohio Valley and Northeast this weekend with heavy rain.
Today's severe risk coincides with radar above....dark green...yellow and tan...best chances.
Map above is for Saturday....major - unseasonable storm in Ohio Valley....reforming east of Appalachians bringing cool...windy...wet weather to the east.....trailing down to Gulf.
Rainfall amounts this weekend.....heaviest in Northeast where 1"-3" could fall.....and across southern Gulf States.
UK Model for Sunday is best compromise showing 1 low over New Jersey....which spells out the wet cool weather expected there. Below...upper air pattern for next week.
It indicates Heat out west and cool East. Be safe...have a nice weekend.
Satellite/radar shows thunderstorms still in the south and that will continue into weekend. Next batch of showers and storms in Midwest heads east and will affect Northeast tonight into Friday. Showers in Northern Rockies brings more wet weather eastward this weekend.
Today's severe risk in dark green and yellow.
Map is for this evening. Low in Ohio causing rain to east coast. Low in Rockies next weather maker to ruin another weekend for many.
Rainfall amounts Saturday into Sunday. Clearly..Northeast takes it on the chin. Lower Great Lakes could get 1"-3".
Below...takes on the weekend low in east by all models.
Most are in agreement it will be wet...and placement of lows close...since we think there will be 2 lows...one of the lower Great Lakes and another over the coast.
Lastly - the Japan Model....showing basically the same
pattern. Be safe.
Satellite/Radar shows storms in Tennessee Valley tempering the heat. More storms in Midwest today...reaching the East Thursday.
Severe weather threat today from So.Dakota to Indiana...yellow..... tan - more widespread threat.
Nice weather northeast. Rain and storm Midwest move to east late Thursday. Storm in Rockies heads east to bring more wet weather to east coast this weekend.
Japan model for Sunday....wet in Northeast.....Gulf....
Upper Midwest and Southwest. Below....the other models all depicting a storm for Sunday in East......with Euro being the fastest....and UK Met being further south. It all adds up
to not a beach weekend in Northeast. Be safe.
Earrly morning radar/satellite showing strong convection...thunderstorms moving into Northeast. This area will expand and affect Ne & MidAtlantic today with severe thunderstorms and possible tornadic activity.
Today's severe weather risk....yellow and tan. Tan is obviously in a better threat which includes 1/4 billion people. Below...is the table to explain threat above.
Weather map for mid day Tuesday showing cold front in East with thunderstorms in advance.
These are projected high temperatures for this Sunday.....the cool in East mainly due to clouds and some rain. Scorching - record breaking heat out west.
Above....how daytime temperatures will average over next 7 days....as compared to average. Blue = cooler...red = hotter.
Below....amount of rain over the next 7 days. Ugh !
Above - Japan Model for this Saturday showing a double low bringing rain over the Eastern Half of the Nation.
Below...The Euro Model....keeping the rain south of
New England...but overall quite similar. Be safe.
Satellite/Radar shows a large flare up in Northern Plains. It will move east over Great Lakes today with severe weather...and into Northeast tomorrow.
Today's risk of severe weather....yellow and tan.
Tonight's weather map will focus on cold front in Great Lakes where severe weather is possible. Heat will continue in Southeast and out west.
Rain for Tuesday......all associated with cold front in Northeast.....some of these amounts underdone.
Upper air pattern for late week....showing heat out west and cooler in Northeast. Be safe.
Remnants of Hurricane Bill will be moving through around midnight causing downpours and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms. Current precip from 12AM tonight until 12PM tomorrow range from 1.75-2.5" but in areas of thunderstorms that value can easily top 3", if any stalling occurs that value may be much greater (just think Islip last August 12-13 with 13" falling, in all likeliness that situation may not occur but a 3" estimate is only average and locally may see higher amounts in situations similar to that).
The heaviest downpours will occur between 12AM and 9AM with it scattering more (but still heavy) until Noon. Past that scattered showers/storms still possible but on a much lower scale.
Flood watches extend over the area for:
Southern half of CT: Sunday 2AM-eve
NYC: tonight 10PM-Sunday eve
NJ: tonight 8PM-Sunday eve
LI: tonight 11PM-Sunday eve
Beware of localized flash flooding occurring, especially at night when it's less visible when you're driving. Stay home if you can but be very careful if you need to go out and keep a keen eye out as visibility will be near zero during the downpours.
Satellite/radar overlay still shows a defined circulation of Bill in Missouri. It will head east and bring wet weather along it's path to Northeast by Sunday. Storms in Daktoas could be severe today.
Severe risk of storms today in yellow and brown.
Map for Sunday. Remains of Bill over Mid Atlantic. Cold front over Great Lakes with showers and thunderstorms.
Amounts of rain on Sunday - below....but caution here....as I feel models will not be able to handle the tropical nature of this system and many places can easily receive of 2" of rain.
Have a safe and pleasant weekend and Happy Father's Day or all of our Dads.
You can see the remains of Bill on satellite in Oklahoma. It will merge with another band of moisture working across the Northern Plains. This will make things very wet from Southern Plains into Ohio Valley...and then to the Mid Atlantic and Northeast by Father's Day.
River Flood Potential through Monday.
Map for Thursday evening: "Bill" northeast Oklahoma....will be steered by cold front over Great Lakes.
Best chance of severe weather today - yellow areas.
This satellite/radar shows how moisture from Bill will be taken across the Ohio Valley and east this weekend. Amazingly...Bill still has a very defined circulation for a tropical system that has been on land for a long time.
This map is for Sunday. "Bill" over Pennsylvania....cold front moving down through Great Lakes....all spells trouble for East.
Projected rainfall - Sunday into Monday. Heaviest rain...southern New England...including NYC & Long ISland...and parts of Iowa. These places could see 1"- 3".
These are projected highs for Sunday. Be safe.
A.M. satellite shows Bill near Waco Texas moving north. Moisture from Bill will head northeast and will leave a trail of heavy rain all the way to New England by Sunday.
Track of Bill thru Friday night.
Euro model shows "Bill" over New Jersey on Sunday.
Canadian Model shows "Bill" over the lower Hudson Valley of NY on Sunday.
UK Met shows "Bill" over Cape Cod by Sunday night.
Below....amounts of rainfall with Bill today.
Below....amounts of rainfall projected this weekend. Be sure to think about your outdoor plans for Father's Day based upon the map below.
Above...Map for this evening. Bill in NE Texas.
Lastly....satellite picture showing moisture moving north across Texas. Moisture in Plains will team up with Bill and head east to bring heavy rain to Ohio Valley Saturday..and to Northeast and Mid Atlantic Sunday. Be safe.
Tropical Storm Bill was born overnight with 50 mph winds...less than 100 miles off the Texas coast. He is moving northwest and will make landfall south of Houston today with heavy rains and wind.
Track of Bill moves into central Texas. Bill will weaken but his tropical rains will spread north then northeast and could wind up along the east coast this weekend.
Meanwhile....cold front moving into the East will trigger some rough thunderstorms today. Nice weather for Northeast Wednesday.
Today's risk of severe thunderstorms in dark green...with a better chance in yellow.
You can follow the stream of tropical moisture starting in the Gulf ...moving up thru Texas...bending across Gt. Lakes and Ohio Valley and into Northeast.
Above...how temperatures will average thru next weekend.
Heat stays south and west. Below...how rainfall will average...wet in North Central and Northeast. Be safe.
First....very dry out west. Moisture from Texas to Midwest then east to Northeast. Swirl in Gulf could be the next tropical system....if so...it would be "Bill".
This satellite is overlayed with radar....once again Texas to Northeast.
This map is valid for Monday evening...and clearly shows why the moiosture band continues from Texas to Northeast.
Rainfall amounts today and tonight...look underdone in Northeast since many places already have had more than projected.
Dark green shows risks today with possible severe storms.
Red x shows a 60% chance of this system becoming tropical. Hurricane sending a plane in for investigation today.....but it should move toward the Texas coast giving them more rain which is not needed at this time. After that...moisture from this system will hope aboard the jet and head northeast to bring more heavy rain to same places getting rain today. So...Northeast and MidAtlantic...looks like you will make up your deficit this week and weekend.
Close up satellite picture of tropical system in Gulf.
Heaviest rain Great Lakes into Northeast....and over Southern Plains. Notice the flair up in the Gulf Of Mexico. Later you will see how the Canadian Model takes that and wants to turn it into something tropical.
Today's severe risk....yellow.
Map above for Saturday evening. East- west front over Eastern half of Nation will be a problem for showers.
Amounts of rainfall from today thru next Friday.....bright orange 4"- 8".
How daytime temperatures will average over the next 7 days. Red - warmer...blue cooler.
Canadian model takes that flare up in Gulf and turns it into a tropical system and moves it toward Texas Coast by next Wednesday. Only model doing that...and it could be right.
Below...Tropical storm Carlos south of Mexico with 60 mph winds. Be safe and have a nice weekend.
Most the nation quiet...warm....storms from Northern Rockies through Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
Severe risk today in dark green and yellow.
Front from Great Lakes to Rockies will be focus of showers and storms into weekend. Warm weather throughout.
Rainfall amounts Thursday into Friday....clearly Great Lakes...Eastern Rockies and Gulf Coast where over 1" expected.
5 day rainfall amounts.....bright red and orange...over 3".
Showers and thunderstorms East....and southwest due to the remains of Blanca. Elsewhere quiet.
Today's severe weather threat in dark green and yellow.
Fronts in east and upper Midwest will be the instigators for some severe weather in those areas. Blanca brings some much needed rain to So. California...but not much.
Track of Tropical Depression Blanca.
Today's UV Index high over most of the Nation. Greens and yellows indicate clouds and less sun.
Hurricane Blanco - 100 mph winds - will weaken and move toward Baja over weekend. Track Below.
Moisture along the Mid Atlantic Coast in form of showers...and over Florida. Showers & storms in Plains will be a problem thru the weekend.
Map is valid for Saturday evening. Some showers over The Carolinas....heaviest rain Upper Midwest into Central Plains.
Today's threat for severe weather in yellow.
Above map shows how daytime temperatures will average through June 13th. i.e. NYC (red 3).....or 3 degrees above the normal. Red is above...blue below...violet near.
Have a great and safe weekend.
Hurricane Blanco in The Pacific with 140 mph winds. She is headed for Baja......and could bring rain to The Southwest but probably not California.
Track of Blanco. If track stays to west of Baja...So. Cal could get some rain from time. Watching.
Satellite shows Andres in lower right...weakening. Front moving through California may touch off some drizzle...or showers in Mountains. Bright colors in Plains mean another day of stormy weather there. System along east coast will haunt them with more showers.
A different perspective of where the 2 Pacific tropical systems are.
Grey and damp for Mid Atlantic. Storms for The Plains.
Cool and wet for Great Lakes....Texas stays dry.
Today's severe weather threat. Yellow is slight chance....brown enhanced. Be safe.
Moisture clears the Northeast but points south...no go.
Stormy weather with Central and No. Plains.
Current map....wet mid Atlantic to Florida......Pacific NW to Northern Plains.
Map for this evening....not changing much from early today.
Severe weather risk today.....yellow is slight...but brown is more widespread coverning...parts of Wyoming/Colorado/Nebraska/Kansas.
This map shows moisture. If you are in White...Blue....no problem....anything from Green to Red is moist- humid.
Track of Blanco...which could bring some moisture to the Southwest. Below...track of Andres...which continue out into PAcific. Be safe.
Still wet in Northeast.....stormy weather Northern Rockies into the Plains. Possible tropical disturbance brewing in Atlantic.
Expected rainfall amounts thru Wed. night. Yellow indicating 1.5" +.
A pair of tropical troubles in Pacific. Andres is weakening...Blanca is a tropical storm....both moving west.
Area that could experience severe weather today.
Canadian model did not back off on it's tropipcal system for this weekend...but shifted track east off coast like all other models. Stay dry and warm....safe.
Today's severe threat - marginal in dark green...better chance in yellow.
Heavy rains noted in Northeast with another batch coming across the Ohio Valley. Small area for Texas panhandle...and widespread showers in Northwest. Fan of clouds deep in Gulf could turn out to be our next tropical trouble.
Rainfall amounts for next 24 hours.....1"-2" in Northeast.
Today's map shows wavy front resulting in the wet weather east......with next web of fronts causing showers out west.
Latest Pacific Map shows Hurricane Andres with 140 mph winds moving west. Expected to weaken next day or two.
Japan Model for this Saturday forming a storm near Cape Hateras N.C. likely to bring rain up the coast. Other models keeping that system well offshore. We shall see.
Canadian model for Next Monday - showing a tropical system headed for North Carolina. Below...The GFS Version....other models...not saying much. Be safe.
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.