More heavy weather in Texas on our satellite/radar picture...but it is moving east and will end there. Warm weather most places will turn abruptly cooler late weekend in Northeast.
Tropical Storm Andres is in the Pacific south of California and moving west.
Today's severe risk...yellow......dark green is marginal.
Rainfall totals over the next 7 days.
High temperatures for next Tuesday: very cool in Northeast due to clouds and rain...likewise in Northwest. By Thursday....below...look how it changes as summer makes a strong return. Have a nice and safe weekend.
Satellite/radar overlay shows another band of moisture moving over Appalachians...and it will fire up to produce gusty storms this afternoon in Northeast. Southern Plains under the gun for ore rain and storms.
Best chance for severe weather in yellow today- tonight.
Map for Thurs. evening showers some storms in Northeast...Southern Plains....Dakotas.
Amount of rain expected Sunday into Monday....target areas from Northeast to Tenn.Valley & Gulf States....as well as No. Rockies.
Above....4 models...Canadian...GFS...UK Met and Japan all showing the cold front in East to slow down and result in good rainfall there this weekend. Below....the 500 Mb - upper level flow for Sunday which shows the trof over Tenn. Valley as the instigator for this rain. Be safe.
Satellite/radar overlay shows line of moisture over Appalachinas. This may erupt into strong storms for Northeast and Mid Atlantic late today. Storms in Texas moving northeast. Rain in Great Lakes moving northeast.
Map of this evening. Front in Ohio will push storms toward the east coast. Scattered showers Rockies.
Severe weather threat - yellow....today and tonight.
Map above is for Sunday. Front in Northeast may produce widespread rain from Saturday late into Sunday.
This is the Japan model for SUnday night. Upper low and trof over Ohio Valley should be a good kicker for rain and storms for Eastern third of Nation Sunday.
This map...(Japan Model) also shows rainfall totals from
today into Sunday night. Most of the Nation should see some good rains......be safe.
Early morning weather map shows a front from Texas to Great Lakes. This has resulted in a squall line with life threatening flooding in Houston area overnight. The wet soggy weather shifting slowly east all week.
Satellite/radar overlay shows the heavy rain and storms in Texas and Louisiana...heading east and north. Showers over New England heading out.
Greatest threat of severe weather today highlighted in yellow.
Above....water temperatures for Atlantic and Pacific. They are in Celsius...but clearly very warm over the Atlantic Basic and Gulf...in mid 80s.
Map above is at 500 Mb or 18,000 feet. It shows a strong ridge off the East coast responsible for warm and more humid weather there. Dip or "U" shaped pattern in Plains is a trof and it is responsible for kicking up all of the wet and severe weather.
It moves east slowly as the high ridge slowly erodes during the week.
Map above is for the next 7 days...thru June 2, 2015. It shows how daytime temperatures will AVERAGE. Red is above...Blue is below. Most of the blue area is below due to persistent clouds and wet weather. Be safe....
Satellite pix with overlayed radar shows showers in the Northeast....and some of the Great Lakes. Heavier rain Texas to Rockies and along the west coast.
Map above is for Friday evening. Focus on the green....which indicates rain. This map will likely be just aboout the same thru the holiday weekend.
Severe weather threat above for Saturday.....below for Sunday.
Above....high temperatures for next Monday through Thursday. The East is very warm to hot...west of very cool. Have a safe and enjoyable weekend.
Satellite/Radar combo shows areas 1 - East....most of this will pass across Mid Atlantic as some showers. New England will see little if any rain.
Area 2 - Texas...heads east Area 3- West - staying there for next few days.
Todays severe threat - Carolinas...Gulf Coast and Western Texas
Rainfall amounts for the next 7 days....clearly you can see it is Central U.S.
Mpa for Monday - Memorial Day. Fronts from Plains to
Northeast will be the focus of wet - cloudy weather.
By mid part of next week...heat surges north over The East and cool surges southward over the West.
One front off the east coast....another in Central sections...with yet another system along the west coast.
Radar overlayed on satellite. Moisture in central sections will streak eastward and weaken but will bring showers to Mid Atlantic Thursday.
Severe risk today again...Texas into Gulf States.
Upper air pattern next week...favoring blocking across Canada....but warmer weather for much of the U.S.
Trend for temperatures next week. Red - warm....Blue cool...and reason for that is clouds and showers.
Atlantic Basin tropical satellite. System is central Atlantic is cold core and does not bare watching. Be safe.
Front moving through the east with some showers. Heavy rain and storms in West Texas...just where they do need the rain....staying there for next few days.
Todays threat for severe weather...Northeast and Western Texas.
Map above valid for Tuesday evening. Cold front moving
across Eastern Seaboard. Stationery front over Rockies will bring wet weather there and to the Plains.
Above...Euro Model for early Monday. Wet weather for Midwest down thru Mississippi Valley. Band of rain with warm front from Ohio Valley to Mid Atlantic. This band will be tricky to forecast....i.e. based on above...NYC would be cloudy with some drizzle... Phily will be wet...but Virginia Beach will be sunny and 90...while Boston will be sunny and 70. Good luck. Below....Daytime high temperatures for the Memorial Day Weekend from Saturday into Tuesday.
Cold front seen over Ohio Valley will move off east coast Wednesday. System in west may affect the nation over the course of the holiday weekend.
Threat of severe weather today west Texas and Eastern New Mexico.
Fronts in Ohio Valley and Northeast will cause unsettled weather for the east next 2 days. High pressure over Central Canada will result in nice weather mid and late week. Unsettled weather out west will head east slowly and will begin to affect central US by start of holiday weekend...but may not make it to east coast until end of
These are expected high temperatures for Monday, Memorial Day. Be safe everyone.
Satellite with radar overlapping shows system no. 1 moving through Great Lakes and into East Saturday. System # 2 in Rockies will head east and not reach the east coast until Tuesday. Meanwhile...rough storms again in Texas.
Showers and storms could be severe today from Ohio Valley to Plains and Texas. Best possibility outlined in yellow and brown.
Early morning weather map shows the 2 systems we described above.
Map above is for Saturday. System #1 moving across Northeast...system # 2 into The Plains with lots of wet weather there.
This is an upper air map at 5,000ft for next Tuesday. Tan and brown mean dry. Blue is wet.....so you can see that the overall pattern not changing much into early next week.
Map above shows water temperatures. Note that very warm temperatures are evident off Africa and across the Atlantic. This could make for a very interesting tropical Atlantic season. Have a safe weekend.
Lots of moisture seen on satellite from Plains to west coast. This all moves east to give much of the nation unsettled weather over the weekend.
One low in Midwest....Another in the west will move cross country to give a good part of the nation some rain or showers for the next 5- 7 days.
Today's severe weather threat over Utah - Colorado and Texas...again.
Map above shows 7 day rainfall amounts. Notice....most of the nation gets rain.
Above....7 day average temperature departure for daytime temps. Notice again....most of the nation in blue - that is below the average.
Satellite shows tropical depression Ana over North Carolina. It will continue to weaken but bring some heavy rain to Mid Atlantic. Thunderstorms in lower Mississippi Valley could be severe today up into Ohio Valley.
Close up shot on satellite of Ana.
Today's threat area for severe thunderstorms - yellow
best threat - dark green - marginal.
High temperatures expected by late week.
Satellite shows newly formed subtropical storm Ana off Georgia. It will move slowly northward. Heavy rain and storms in Lower Mississippi Valley.
Today's severe threat in yellow..brown and red. Red indicates a very good chance...which happens to be Oklahoma again.
Above - track of Ana per Nat'l Hurricane Center. Ana has 50 mph winds and moving north. Should come inland near the N/S Carolina border Sunday....then could reach Montauk, NY by Tuesday as a depression.
Map above is for Sunday - MOm's Day. Ana is along the S.Carolina coast. Storm in Plains will be a big weather maker as well.
Severe weather threat Sunday covers a large area from dark green to red....and again red indicating strong chances of severe.
Amounts of rainfall on Sunday. Heaviest along the Carolinas with Ana.....Texas.....Northern Plains.
High temperatures expected for next Wednesday following Ana and cold front. A cooling down for lots of people.
Have a safe weekend...and Happy Mother's Day to all our mom's.
Low pressure seen off the Carolinas will likely become the first tropical system of the unborn season. It will impact the coast from Virginia to S.Carolina and residents are being urged to monitor the developments. Meanwhile potent front in Plains will result in more severe weather there today.
Hurricane Center now placing a 70% probability of low becoming tropical or sub tropical. A airforce hunter plane will be flying in to investigate area later this morning.
Map for today shows our tropical system off the se coast.
Front in Plains will be a big troublemaker with storms today...and lots of wet unsettled weather from west coast into The Rockies.
Threat of severe in dark green and yellow for today and tonight. Below...the different models and where they
place this tropical low off the se coast. They are all in good agreement both timing and placement. Be safe.
Storm system in Plains will continue to bring central U.S. lots of rain and storms. System off lower Atlantic Coast will be subtropical and should meander there for a time.
Threat of severe weather today....dark green and yellow.
Today's map shows showers along a front from Daktoas to Mid Atlantic. Fronts over Rockies also will bring wet weather there with thunderstorms across the Plains.
Map for Sunday - Mother's Day. Worst weather should be in the Plains with storm pulling out of The Rockies. Tropical like low over Carolinas will wring itself out.
Expected day temperatures for Sunday. Warm east - cold Rockies and Plains.
Tropical like low over Bahamas given a 20% chance next day or 2 but up to 40% chance over next 3-5 days of becoming a tropical depression or storm.
This is the upper air at 18,000 ft for Friday. Low off N.Carolina is cut off from westerlies therefore the surface low will move or drift little. The Euro model reflects this in its position as you will see below....so it bares watching.
Moisture off the Florida coast could become a sub- tropical disturbance that will meander off SE coast all week. Cold front in Midwest will threaten east with some showers.
Map for Tuesday afternoon shows a front from Plains to Northeast with showers along it. Showers off Florida...large area from Southern Rockies to Texas. More showers in the Pacific Northwest.
Threat of severe weather outlines in deep green and yellow.
Above...Hurricane center highlighting area off Florida coast for tropical storm formation in next couple days. Probability is 30%.
Above....satellite overlayed with radar. Showers and some storms fron Gt.Lakes into the Southwest. These are associated with a front which may result in severe weather today....which we show below. Clouds and showers in Bahamas will spark a low which may become tropical by late week.
DArk green and yellow indicate best chance for any severe storms today.
Map for this evening....showing cold front from eastern Great Lakes to Colorado. Showers and storms along this front. Another front in Pacific Northwest with showers.
Below...in this order...Canadian....GFS.....Euro Model all depicting a sub-tropical low off southeast coast for late week. Until tomorrow....be safe.
The blocking low in North Atlantic has forced wet weather down across the Mid Atlantic. Old front south of Florida will continue to cause showers in south Fla. Showers working through upper Midwest will weaken as they move east...all indicating rather calm weather for the first weekend in May.
Total rainfall for the next 7 days. Clearly you can see that the upper Midwest south to Texas will be very wet...as well as southern Florida. Temperatures will be turning warmer in the East....so most of the nation has turned the corner.
All of the above models are for late next week. Attention to the Southeast Coast. All still indicating something tropical.
Canadian still leads the pack as far as timing - it is earlier and brings the system right into Delmarva. Once again..this could take on tropical characteristics and would be given the name ANA. For now...enjoy your weekend and be safe,
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.