Even though hurricane season does not start until June 1st....it is not unusual to get tropical system before and after. Will it mean a busy tropical system ? Not necessarily.
Low spinning in North Atlantic will keep northeast and mid atlantic unsettled next couple. Front in Rockies will weaken as it moves east.
Map valid for this evening. Weak lows in Mid Atlantic bringing some rain there. Showers moving through the Dakotas with a cold front.....otherwise calm.
Rainfall amounts expected in MidAtlantic next 24 hours.
Canadian Model for NEXT Friday. Attention to low along the outer banks of N.Carolina. This could easily be a tropical system....and if it is it could be given the name ANA. Water temperatures in SE Atlantic are some 6 degrees above normal.
This is the GFS Model for same time...next Friday. It is a little slower have this tropical like system off the Se Coast....nevertheless it also sees it.
This is the Euro but for Saturday of next week. It too...sees this tropical system...but is slower however more compact.It is in about the same location of The GFS Model.
Even though hurricane season does not start until June 1st....it is not unusual to get tropical system before and after. Will it mean a busy tropical system ? Not necessarily.
Satellite shows old storm in No. Atlantic still circulating moisture over Eastern New England. Heavy rains moving out across Florida. Some showers in Great Lakes.
Map above is valid for this evening. Storm moving off SE Coast bringing drier weather to Florida. Weak lows moving out of Great Lakes will bring a few showers to Northeast and Mid Atlantic for late week. Showers in Pacific Northwest will move east....otherwise no major systems on tap for the nation into the weekend.
This is the GFS Model for next Wednesday. Notice the low off The Carolinas ! This is tropical in nature and this model has been showing this for quite some time. It will be May...and sometimes this does happen....but it would be early. Water temps in that area are running some 6 degrees above normal.
This is the Euro model for same period. It too shows this tropical low.
Notice the swirl over Texas. That storm heads east and will turn up the east coast by should be just enough offshore so that heavy rain is not likely. The band of clouds from Minnesota to Rockies will head east as well...so showers will be possible in the east for late week.
This map is for this evening. Storm in Gulf States with rain and storms. A few showers over Great Lakes....So. Rockies...and Pacific Northwest.
This map is for 1 week from today. It shows warm weather south and east...for a change....slightly cooler over the Plains. Below...take a look at expected temperatures for next Tuesday. Be safe.
An upper air disturbance over the Northeast will produce plenty of clouds and some showers there today and into tonight. A storm in the southwest will be responsible for more severe weather today in the Gulf States. This system will travel east and may turn up the East Coast come Friday....the first of May.
Today's weather threat especially in yellow and tan.
Map above is valid for early this evening. Showers in Northeast.......and the Northern Plains. Storm in south will be the big weather maker all week long. As to whether it comes up the east coast late week...remains to be seen.
It should be close enough to produce at least some rain.
Forecasting may be our main job, but sometimes we have to look back into the past to get our information. We deal with clients of all kinds
Moisture in center of the Nation will head east with plenty of wet weather for the southern half of the nation and threat of severe in the Plains today. Chilly air with freeze watches for the Northeast. More unsettled weather in the NW.
Large threat for severe weather today in Plains.....yellow and brown indicate the strongest chances.
Above...map for Saturday showing storm in Mid Mississippi Valley with widespread rain and storms from Midwest thru Gulf States and Carolinas. More unsettled weather headed into The Rockies. Fair in Northeast and Mid Atlantic.
Above....afternoon high temperatures for Monday. Notice that the warm air is suppressed far south and west. That's the same reason why the storm projected by some models for late next week will do likewise....stay south.
Enjoy your weekend...be safe.
Satellite shows cold low in Eastern Canada which will serve to suppress the next storm moving out of Rockies. Chicago
will get rain and wind this weekend..and then the storm will m ove out thru the Mid Atlantic. Very wet weather for Gulf States and Florida...so if you are going to see Mickey..bring the umbrella.
Today's severe weather threat above. Below...the table explaining the threat categories.
Early morning temperatures ......looks like MArch ?
Above....how day time temperatures will average over the next 7 days. Blue= below.....Red= above.
How about the big storm the models were blowing up for next week at this time ? Above...Canadian.....do you see it ? How about the weak low off the Carolinas ??????
This is the Euro.......has a wave over Florida. This model is just not performing well at all....big disappointment. It was first to depict a storm...now nothing. Feel it is wrong. Do know why the models are backing off...because cool air to north is suppressing everything south...but that may change.
Above - The UKMET thinks there will be a big storm in southeast.....and so does the GFS...(Below) which was the only model early this week to say "No". As usual...long way off so models have time to gather their thoughts.
Satellite/radar pix shows next cold front flying into the Northeast with more showers. Old front causing rain in
Weather map for early this evening. Cold front moving off
east coast with showers. Rain and snowshowers from the Great Lakes to New England. Widespread precip. in the Rockies. Looks like that system will head for Mid Atlantic and Southeast this weekend.
Long range models have delayed the onset of any major spring storm until the end of NEXT week. Above....Canadian model showing a robust storm off the Mid Atlantic....where yesterday...it was earlier...weaker...and further offshore.
If this were to verify...accumulating wet snow could fall in parts of the Appalachians.
Above...Euro Model....looking very similar to Canadian.
Once again Euro is later...but as intense and a bit further east than their forecast yesterday. These models are all being based on an upper pattern that could turn out to be a bit wacky. So....will April go out like a March Lion......stay tuned and we'll find out. Meanwhile...nippy north...warm and wet south. Be safe.
A large storm north of the Great Lakes will make it windy...cool and unsettled for the NE Quarter of The Nation.
Wet weather will continue across the Gulf. We do not expect too much in the way of changes from the current pattern into the weekend.
Above...Canadian model for next Tuesday. Showing very cool air for eastern 1/2 of nation...with a large storm just off the coast.
Above - Euro Model for next Tuesday....not only showing cool but chilly and a bigger storm over Mid Atlantic. So who do we believe ? Neither......we just wait and see since it is a week away. Stay safe.
Large spring storm bringing heavy rain to the East....thunderstorms over Ohio & Tenn Valleys. In the wake...cool air over The Plains.
Map above is for this evening. Large storm north of the Great Lakes will pull rain north across New England while unseasonably chilly air and wind will grab the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Looks like the Lakes and Northeast will also turn chilly late this week and that pattern could continue thru end of month.
Amounts of rain expected today and tonight. Heaviest - in blue...where 1-2" possible.
Above....daytime high temperatures for Thursday.
Unseasonably warm well south...unseasonably cold extreme north.
Map for this Saturday. Low off New England...high over central Canada...means cool for Lakes and Northeast. Low pressure in southwest bring wet weather for southern third of the Nation. Be safe.
Swirl in Rockies is the first big spring storm. Severe weather today thru the weekend in the south and Plains...then heavy rain and wind for the East early next week.
Map for Saturday....great weather for Northeast and Mid Atlantic...best of the year. Rockies storm in Plains...worst weather of the year.
Today's severe weather threat - yellow and brown.
This is the Canadian model for Monday nite...which I like the best...since I think it shows the best fit. Rockies low in
upper Midwest with rain and snow....second low- mid Atlantic with wind and heavy rain.
Models depicting 1- 1 1/2" of rain with storm early next week...you can easily double that across the mid Atlantic and Northeast.
Japan model for Mon. night - latching on to the idea of very heavy rain in the Northeast.
High temperatures expected late next week. Some 10 to 15 degrees below normal in the North...you can bet on some wet snowshowers there as well. Have a safe weekend.
This satellite/radar shows moisture from Midwest to Carolinas to Gulf States all moving northeast. Sprawling area in Rockies will evolve into a major rain event over weekend.
Map for this evening. Area of showers in Ohio Valley work into Northeast. Wet weather prevails in Gulf States. Rain and snow in Rockies moving east and will be a major player this weekend into early next week.
Amounts of rain expected with Rockies storm from Sunday night into Tuesday morning. Notice how dry the west continues to stay.
Weather Map for next Monday. Rockies storm in Great Lakes will large area of rain and storms for the Eastern half of the Nation. Behind the storm....it's going to get unseasonably cool...especially in the north. Below...look at temps. expected next Thursday for afternoon highs.
This is a hemispheric satellite pix which kind of shows you how jet streams are steering our weather. Plume of moisture in Ohio Valley will affect eastern half of Nation thru Friday with showers. Moisture in Pacific Northwest could produce some showers.....from west to east otherwise the heaviest rains will continue over the Gulf States right into weekend.
Risk of severe weather today in sw Nebraska and western Kansas. Dark green areas are borderline.
This is Japan model for this coming Monday. Focus on moisture which blankets the eastern half of the Nation. This should be a widespread rain event.
This map is for next Tuesday. The storm along the Virginia Capes and cold front over Appalachians will be the instigators in all the rain . Behind these systems...it cools down. Below...high temperatures expected for next Wednesday. Be safe.
The satellite/radar combo above showers front moving thru the Northeast with showers . Rain over Ohio Valley will stay there and point south for next couple. Fair weather Plains to Great Lakes.
Current early a.m. map shows front in east - blue indicates precipitation. Much of the nation...dry and calm.
Early morning temps. across the Nation.
This is the upper flow or we can find jet stream. Notice the low in Texas......player for east coast this weekend. Trof over Pacific Northwest....Player # 2 for the weekend. Looks like that low in Texas may send a low up east coast and that would mean unsettled. If not...then system in Pacific Northwest may result in showers only on Sunday.
A small patch of showers in Pennsylvania should weaken out....while showers near Chicago will head east and move off the east coast Tuesday. Heavy storms in Texas pose a threat there today.
Map above for Monday evening showing a cold front headed for Appalachians with showers. Thunderstorms Texas and southern Plains. Fair center nation....more showers in Pacific Northwest.
There is a very slight risk of strong storms over Ohio and nearby neighboring states. Slight risk in yellow over Texas.
Above.....7 day total rainfall. Clearly...the south gets hit big time. Northeast will also see heavy rainfall as well as the Pacific NW.
Coolest day of the week Nationwide will be Thursday.
Japan model for Friday night. This model wants to show
plenty of moisture with next front moving out of Plains and toward the east coast. Other models say "No" to this and want to keep the system separate and more isolated. Time will tell who will be correct. Be safe.
Satellite picture shows moisture with cold front converging on east coast today. Risk of severe weather will exist there.
Rest of the nation....fair and dry.
Map above is for this evening. Cold front approaches east coast. Behind it...fair and more springlike conditions this weekend. Showers in Pacific Northwest.
Today's risk of severe weather from southern Delmarva to New Orleans.
Canadian model depicting a significant spring storm next weekend with a shot of chilly air.
Euro model also depicting a pretty significant storm for
East next weekend......so make the most of this one.
Satellite shows areas of convection (t-storms) and moisture over the eastern half. Midwest to So. Plains under the gun today for severe weather.
Storm in Midwest will be the big weather maker today with possible severe storms and even some tornadoes. Mainly clear and cooler western half.
Greatest threat today into tonight is in the brown area. Cities like Chicago...Indianapolis , St. Louis, Little Rock,
Memphis all under the gun. Best time would be late afternoon into tonight.
Amounts of rainfall projected today. Blue indicates 1" of rain...most likely in thunderstorm activity.
On a lighter note...These are the projected daytime temperatures for next Wednesday. Looking more like spring except in the Rockies and Pacific Northwest.
Wet east coast.....Midwest....Texas....Intermountain area.
Highly unsettled and even stormy.
Same front causing all of the wet weather. Snow and rain in Rockies.... then just wet for the Eastern half of the Nation.
Today's severe weather threat ....yellow and tan being the strongest threat.
Amounts of rain for Thursday. Blue indicating 1"...most likely because of thunderstorms.
This is the Japan model for this Sunday. Wet southeast...southern Plains....upper Midwest....Northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest. Nicest weather Great Lakes...Northeast and Mid Atlantic, Ohio Valley. Make your plans now. Be safe.
Satellite shows lots of moisture splattered across the Nation and this will continue the unsettled weather pattern right thru end of the week. At least places like California will get some much needed rain.
The fronts that extend from the west coast to the east coast will hang over the nation all week long. Most places seeing rain...but some snow or ice still possible in extreme northern regions from upper Midwest to New England. Not out of the question for even places like NYC to see some sleet Wednesday night.
Early morning temperatures continue to be cooler than normal for most of the Nation.
Upper air flow this weekend projecting the trof across The
Rockies...so cooler and wetter there. Ridge over Great Lakes should help temperatures moderate in The East.
Today's map shows a front from Midwest to Northeast...focus of wet weather especially to the north of its location. More showers and storms in south...and west.
California will get some much needed rain next couple of days.
Satellite shows the moisture we spoke about above from Midwest to Northeast...and in the south. Below...radar form early morning.
Map above shows total rainfall for next 7 days. Purple indicates 1" or more. Below....map shows how daytime temperatures will average over the next 7 days. Much of the nation above norm....but that could with wetness. Be safe.
Moisture from the Mississippi Valley to Northeast will continue into Saturday. Moisture over the Northern Plains will streak across the Great Lakes into New England on Easter Sunday.
Map above is for today. Wet weather Ohio/Tenn. Valleys to northeast. Showers in Pacific Northwest.
Above...amounts of precipitation on Easter Sunday. Rain and some wet snow from Wisconsin to Michigan into New York State. Showers and storms lower Mississippi Valley into Gulf States....and rain from Northern California to Pacific Northwest.
Map above showing high temperatures for Monday...as we all roll back to work and school. A happy and safe Easter weekend to all.
Brighter colors on satellite are not for Easter. That's moisture that will trigger thunderstorms today...some of which may be severe. That system will head east to affect the East Coast Friday and Saturday.
Above...area that is expected to have severe weather today. Yellow and brown tells us where the best chances are...which is southern Illinois & southern Missouri.
Map above shows the cold front moving through the Ohio Valley with lots of weather turbulent weather ahead of it. Cooler drier air Plains and Rockies.
These are expected afternoon temperatures for Easter Sunday. Most of the Nation.../mild to warm with the exception of the Northern border states. Best chance of wet weather...lower Mississippi Valley and Pacific Northwest.
Today's map above shows high pressure over the east...so fair and dry. Storm and front moving out of Rockies will be responsible for rain and snow in Northern Rockies...and upper Midwest. Showers and storms Gulf States and Texas. As the system heads east an outbreak of severe weather is possible.
Satellite shows system moving out of Rockies and that will be the weather maker until it reaches east coast on Saturday.
Map for Easter Sunday. Basically fair and dry with the exception of the Pacific Northwest and Rockies.
For those attending religious services Easter Morning...here are the expected early morning temperatures. Below...expected daytime temperatures.
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.