Metro Weather - WX Discussion - Metro Weather Inc. Services

Father Time Gives us "The Cold Shoulder"

12/31/2014

Strong trof off west coast will send a storm across the southland and up into The Great Lakes this weekend. Until then...much of the nation will be dry and cold.
Midnight temps in these cities will all be dry.....BOSTON 25,NYC 28,PHL 29, DC 30, ATLANTA 37, MIAMI 72,CHICAGO 17, DALLAS 34, NEW ORLEANS 45, SEATTLE 31, DENVER +4, SAN FRAN 46, LOS ANGELES 49

Map is for midnight tonight. Most of the nation dry...exceptions: snowshowers upper Lakes - Northern New England.......rain west Texas - rain and snow southwest.

First storm of New Year heads for The East this Sunday. Most places will see rain....heavy rain from Gulf States up the Appalachians into New England.

This is the GFS Model for next Wednesday. It is the only
long range model to phase jet streams and come up with a sizable winter storm for The Northeast and guess what ?
We buy it over The Euro. So...if this works out...kids will be able to try out their new sleds in Northeast next week.
On behalf of all of us here at Metro Weather we would like to take this opportunity to thank you for visiting our site and wish you and yours a safe, happy, healthy and prosperous New Year.

A Colder Trend....but still on the dry side....

12/30/2014

Satellite shows a wide trof cut out from California to East Coast. Embedded within the trof are disturbances that can either combine to remain separate....still to be determined.
Snow is the Rockies will move east and that should be the next even for The East this weekend.

Above - today's map shows some lake effect from upper Great Lakes into Watertown area of NY. Lighter snows and rains in the southwest.

Above...shows where watches and warnings are issued.
Much of the blue is for wind chill advisories. Yellow...watches....red = warnings.

Map above is for this Sunday. Widespread precip in the east. The front from Boston to Ohio pretty much will make the boundary between rain to the south and snow to the north...with a wintry mix in between. Aside from that...rest of the NAtion...fair and cold. Be safe. Later.

Quiet for many into The New Year......

12/29/2014

Satellite shows one system moving off the mid Atlantic coast. Another system over the Plains will continue eastward with little if any significant precip. Cold across The Northern-tier.....elsewhere near normal.

Map above for this evening. Some rain over the southeast.
Some snow across The Rockies...and cold in the Plains.

Map above for New Year's Day. Some snow in upper Midwest.......snow and rain in the southwest. Elsewhere...quiet.

Above...map for this Sunday. A couple of system converge on The East...AND an assortment of precip. is possible there. Elsewhere - quiet.

Above...map from Jan 3 to Jan 7 - showing how temperatures will average. Blue = colder than average...Orange to red = warmer than average.

Above....map from Jan. 5 to 11th.....colder than average moves into The Northeast. Warmer than average southeast and West. Be safe all....see you tomorrow.

Santa took the skis off his sled..........

12/24/2014

Satellite shows all of the rain from the Great Lakes down to the Gulf Coast over to the Eastern Seaboard. More rain and snow in the Pacific Northwest. Most of the Nation will not have a white Christmas.

Above...map for tonight - Christmas Eve. Rain over the East...some snow back across the central Great Lakes. Rain and snow from Central California to No. Rockies.

Above...map for Christmas Day. Windy but clearing up across The Northeast. Sunny much of the eastern half of the nation. Rain and snow over The Rockies into the Northern Plains. Showers Pacific Northwest.

Amounts of rain that will fall from today into Christmas Day.

Above....Santa Headquarters at The North Pole.

Above...my Christmas tree. From all of us at the weather center...to all of you a very Merry Christmas. Thanks for visiting our website and look for more advancement next year when audio and video will become available.

Wet and mild East....Seasonable West

12/23/2014

Satellite shows lots of mooisture over the Eastern 1/2 of The Nation...most of which is rain. West Coast dry. Look for the wet weather to move out off the East Coast during Christmas Day.

Map above is for this evening....showing the wet weather for the East....some snow upper Midwest.

This map is valid for Wed.night - Christmas Eve. Wet weather continue in The East...some snow Great Lakes. More wet weather Northwest.

Above...one of the elves at The North Pole...busy getting ready for tomorrow night. Be safe.

It's more of a green than white Christmas...

12/22/2014

Satellite shows moisture along the sooutheast Atlantic coast...and we can see the jet digging in the southwest. All spelling out wet and not white for much of the Eastern half of the NAtion into Christmas Day. It will be white from
upper Midwest to Great Lakes....and in the Rockies.

Map above is for this evening. You can clearly see the mess of weather systems. The main low near Iowa will move east as low in Texas moves north...combining to one big storm is Eastern Canada....by Christmas Day.

Map for Christmas Day...showing 1 storm in Canada...while the next organizes in the Rockies.

Above...shows amounts of rain on Wednesday. Blue = 1.00".

Above - GFS Model for New Year's Day. It shows cold air
from Upper Midwest to Northeast...but other models are not as cold. I think the trend will definitely be to colder weather by 2015....so this time the GFS may be right on.

Finally...a shot of the North Pole. Clearly seeing nothing but snow and ice....so Santa has put the skis on his sled and they are getting ready. Later.

A Good Shopping Weekend......

12/19/2014

Satellite shows dry air over much of the Nation: exceptions:
Gulf Coast...where places like New Orleans will get 2" of rain.Other area - Pacific Northwest. That system is the one that will head across the Nation and bring stormy weather
Tuesday/Wednesday. Mainly rain and wind...but snow is
possible on the back side...from Upper Midwest thru upper Great Lakes.

Today's map shows that storm in Gulf which will bring
wet weather across the south and to the southeast. System out west will cross The Rockies this weekend.

Christmas Day Map - storm in Quebec Canada producing gusty winds from Lakes to Mid Atlantic...will lake effect snows in the lee of the lakes. Next storm in southern Rockies will head northeast but should not be a large one.

This is the Euro Model for Christmas Day. Not much different from previous map.....so hopefully this will not change much and the worst travel day will be Wednesday and not Thursday....nation-wide. Have a nice safe weekend.

Quiet until Christmas week......

12/18/2014

Satellite shows lots of action....and computer models are doing their best to resolve this hectic pattern. One system is moving off Maine. Another noted over The Dakotas. We can see a stream of tropical moisture from Mexico down south as well as another system moving into the Pacific Northwest.

Map is for this evening...high pressure controls much of the Nation. Wet weather in Texas will slide east. Wet weather in
Pacific Northwest will also move east. These systems may combine to produce some very stormy weather in the Eastern Half of The Nation by Christmas Eve Day and night.
This will have large impacts upon travel...so stay with us as details become more certain.

Map above is for next Wednesday - Christmas eve,
Storm in Great Lakes is large and strong. North and west of the center...near blizzard conditions. South and east - wind driven rain and even thunderstorms.

Above...amounts of rain (or snow) between Tuesday and Thursday next week. Most places in The East get at least 1" of rain...many places 2". Where it is snow...that could easily be 10" +.
More on this tomorrow. Stay safe.

Countdown to Christmas Weather.....

12/17/2014

Satellite shows one system heading out across New England. Blue in Texas is next system taking the southern route...and may provide some spotty light precip. for Northeast this Sunday. System off west coast could be the troublemaker for Christmas eve into Christmas Day.

Canadian Model for Christmas eve - One low offshore and another over Great Lakes. System offshore will bring rain to Northeast...Gt. Lks storm..snow there. Low coming out of Rockies will bring snow there.

Above - Euro model....wanting to bring near-blizzard weather from upper Midwest thru Great Lakes & Ohio Valley....while wind and rain hit the east coast.

All of the action - west and south, for now.

12/16/2014

Rain moving across The Great Lakes and East today. Wave train continues on west coast. System affecting California now could affect East Coast this weekend. Only minimal arctic air over Northern Plains.

Above map - valid for this evening. Light rain Northeast...some snow Great Lakes....showers to Carolinas.
Wet up and down the west coast. Center - no problem .

Parade of storms continue from West Coast...

12/15/2014

Satellite shows a compact storm in Central Plains bringing rain to Midwest. Next surge of moisture heads thru California...with another one waiting in the wings.

This pix has radar overlayed on top of satellite. The parade of moisture continues out west...while system in Plains heads for the Great Lakes...mainly a rain event.

Map above is for this evening. Storm heads for The Lakes.
Showers for The East Tuesday. Next system in California could evolve into an east coast storm this weekend....but much has to happen before we bank on that. Enjoy the break and happy shopping.

West coast improves......quiet elsewhere

12/12/2014

Satellite shows the powerful rain storm in the west....snow
in Sierra Nevada. The Northeast continues to be under the circulation of the Tuesday storm...but it's weakening.

Satellite picture with an overlay of precipitation. Clearly the spotlight on California.

Map above is what is expected for Saturday evening. Much of The East...dry.....California storm heads across The Rockies with snow there...rain in the Plains.

Above....daytime temperatures expected for this Monday.
Very mild for mid December.

Map above is for next Thursday. Most if not all of the Nation storm free.....so continue shopping, by the way, I wear and
Medium shirt. Have a nice ans safe weekend.

Storm weakens Northeast....Storminess increases West Coast !

12/11/2014

Above satellite shows storm swirling in Northeast. Dry air (black) is wrapping around the storm and pushing into Northern New England...while snow extends from Buffalo to NYC.

Satellite of the west coast. Tons of moisture moving into California and will likely cause flooding and mudslides.

Weather map above is for early this evening. The old storm continue in Northern New England....stormy for the west coast.....center nation...calm and dry.

Above...The Infamoous Euro Model trying to do it again.
Map is valid for next Saturday...when it brews up a large
storm into The Ohio Valley. Not good news for East...if
this verifies since it will be the last shopping weekend before Christmas....will keep you posted. Be safe.

Stormy weather shifts from Northeast to The West Coast.....

12/10/2014

Above...Satellite shows storm that affected Northeast yesterday and will continue to do so next few days. Snows will fall across NYS - 6"-10"....and could even bring a coating as far south as NYC. Big storm west coast...heavy rain and high winds will spread south to Los Angeles by Friday.

On this close up satellite of the Northeast...notice how the bright colors are moving from south to north....(moisture)
mainly rain. The band of light blue is moving from north to south...indicating the circulation that will produce snow
in New York State and south to N.J.

Above...map for this evening. Storm near Maine..typical backlash of wind..snow...but only marginally cold air. Storm on west coast bringing rain and wind from SanFran north.

Above...wind chill chart for your use courtesy of The National Weather Service. Print it and keep it in your walllet and you will always know how cold it feels thru this winter.
Be safe....later.

Stormy -Northeast shifts to West Coast this weekend.....

12/9/2014

Coastal storm pounding mid-Atlantic & Northeast with heavy rain......ice and snow north and west of the big cities.
From NE Pennsylvania to White Mts. over 1 foot of snow and ice will fall. System in southwest will head east.

Intense storm near NYC by this evening. Rest of the nation...dry with exception of The Pacific Northwest.

Amount of precipitation to fall today and tonight....in the northwest and northeast......green indicates 2" or more.

Above map shows amounts of precip. for this weekend. Notice...all out west...and much of it over So. California....may not be good news as for flooding and mudslides.

Above map...Dec.12 to 18th - showing how daytime temperatures will average - above to much above normal over much of the nation. Below...map takes us into Christmas week - Dec. 22......and again much above.
That may change by Christmas weekend. Be safe...later.

Another Nor'easter for The Northeast.....

12/8/2014

Satellite shows large area of moisture from Great Lakes to Gulf. This will translate to a coastal storm that will bring heavy rain and wind from Mid Atlantic to New England. Well inland...away from the big cities...snow will pile up..and
from Pennsylvania into Green and White Mts. of New England... 1 to 1 1/2 feet possible.

Map above shows a low near Bermuda which will follow the red dotted line (trof). It will get energy from the low over the Gt. Lakes. Elsewhere - quiet.

Map above valid for Tuesday nite. The coastal storm is near NYC. The pink dotted line represents the difference between rain to the east and snow to the west.

Above...amounts of precipitation for Tuesday. The green line represents 2.00" in Northeast. Heavy rains hitting the PAcific Northwest.

Map above shows the upper air winds. The elongated area over the east coast represents a CLOSED OFF LOW....meaning that circulation is cut off from the prevailing westerlies...thus the storm on the surface has been captured and will stall or move very slowly.
More on this thru the day. Stay safe.

Wet Weather for the next 26 hours, more Monday night

12/6/2014

Here's a breakdown of what the NY metro area will be seeing:

TODAY/TONIGHT:
Current temps: 44° and rising
Today's High: 51°
Tonight's Low: 35° around 7AM.
Temps will NOT go near the freezing mark, there is no chance of snow accumulations.
Precip: 80%-100% throughout the day

Until 8AM: .10-.15" - 80% RAIN
8AM-2PM: .10-.15" - 100% RAIN
2PM-8PM: .45-.60" - 100% RAIN
8PM-2AM: .30-.45" - 90% RAIN
2AM-5AM TRACE - 50% RAIN, MAYBE A FLURRY FALLING (LESS THAN .02" SNOW, ABSOLUTELY NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT ESPECIALLY SINCE GROUND TEMPS WILL BE 35° WITH NO CHANCE OF ANY OF IT STICKING, IT WILL SIMPLY BE SOME LIGHT SNOWFLAKES FALLING SPARSELY IF ANY AT ALL.)

SUNDAY:
Tomorrow's High 39° with no precip
Temperatures go below 32° on Sunday night at 8PM.
Tomorrow's Low: 25° however all precip on the ground will have evaporated leaving no chance of refreezing.
Precip: NONE
Winds: N 20-25 MPH G 30-40

MONDAY:
Monday's High: near 40°
Monday's Low: 38° and rising
Precip: scattered RAIN, NO SNOW POSSIBLE

The system will make its way through over the next 26 hours, ALL of it rain until possibly the very end of the storm from 2AM-5AM Sunday night when a few flurries will have a slight chance of falling, HOWEVER less than .02" snow will fall and NONE of it will stick due to temperatures being well above freezing.

-Mike Merin

Wet on both coasts.......................

12/5/2014

Satellite shows next storm in middle of the Nation headed northeast to bring wet weather for the East tonight into Saturday night. Another system along the west coast to bring wet weather there.

Map above is for Saturday evening. Front and low in the east bringing mainly rain to that area. Some light precip.
in Northern Rockies...otherwise quiet elsewhere.

Map above shows amount of rainfall for Saturday. Heaviest to be the bullseye over New Jersey - NYC ....where 1- 1 1/2" of rain possible. Below....you will notice 3 maps...these are
in order...Canadian....UKMET.....and The Euro. All of these models indicating a significant coastal storm for East next Tuesday....and we agree.

All 3 models would also lead us to believe that most of the precip. with this storm would be rain...since arctic air is nowhere to be found. However...with systems such as these..they can build their own atmosphere and especially inland...a heavy wet snow cannot be ruled out. Now...below..the GFS Model ( U.S. owned) This model hints at a storm but in no way is close to the others. That is not to say it is wrong, yet. So...if The Euro and others turn out correct...why is it that our own model is not as accurate. Simpy.... money. We do not put the amount of money into our weather forecasting as so these other countries. Have a nice weekend.

Drying out west....getting wet east.

12/4/2014

The fetch of moisture over The Southwest is coming east and if it merges with energy from the north...coastal storms
are possible in The East. Cold air will be marginal over much of The Nation and tending to modify next week.

This is the Canadian model for next Tuesday evening. Most of the nation high and dry except Northeast where they
form a pretty big storm.

This is The Euro. Almost identical to the Canadian except a bit faster. Euro is colder...which could mean more in the way of snow. Jury is still out on this....will follow and let you know. Seems to us that a coastal storm is likely as we expect phasing to take place. Question is...when and where

Soggy east and west....cold Central.

12/3/2014

Satellite pix shows a train of moisture continuing for Southern California today with showers. Moisture over Texas moves east to renew rain threat for the east this weekend. The west to east flow does not mean any new arctic invasions....in fact nationwide - stays mild.

Map above is valid for early tonight. Much of the nation...dry....all of the wet weather western third.

Above...amounts of precipitation over the next 7 days. Clearly...the heaviest - west coast.

Above...shows how daytime temperatures will average over the next 7 days. Most if not all of the nation will be near to above normal......save on heating costs. Be safe.

Stormy west.....Unsettled east ...........

12/2/2014

If you look for the colors...you'll know why California will be getting much needed rain. Notice the storm off the California coast just churning away. It's the gear pulling up the moisture. Will that storm move east in whole or in part ?
The answer will determine as to whether a winter storm could be in the making for the U.S.

Map above is current. Front from Texas to N. Carolina will produce unsettled weather in the east right into this weekend.

Map above is valid from Dec. 7 to 11th - depicts how temperatures will average. The entire country above....
get that Christmas shopping done. Below....map shows how temperatures will average thru Dec. 15th.....and again...well above normal. Be safe....later.

A weather roller coaster.......

12/1/2014

Moisture heads for So. California and Tuesday into Wed. they will get heavy rain. Good for them...but may result in some flooding. A front will extend west to east across the Nation and north of it...cold....unsettled....south....mild....right thru the end of the week.

All of the heavy rain Tuesday - Wednesday...California.
Light rains and snow northeast and mid Atlantic.

Map above for this evening. Along front...light precipitation.
If you are north of it..rain and/or wet snow....if you are south...rain or showers. Pattern holdls into this upcoming weekend. No major winter storms seen. Be safe.