With the exception of showers in The SW and Great Lakes....much of The Nation will have more treat than trick for this halloween. Below - animated maps for the next couple. Below...you will first find the projected rainfall over the next 7 days. Following that...how daytime temps will average for the next week. Notice the cold air coming out of Canada into The Rockies....signs of things to come next week. A Happy and Safe Halloween to all.
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Very intense storm in Northern New York heads into Canada after bringing 1"-4" of rain and wind to 67 mph to Northeast and Mid Atlantic Sunday. Ahead of the storm...it's mild...behind the storm - chilly....as you can see by the map below. Quiet weather for the next couple....animated maps below. Below - amounts of rain expected for the next 24 hours. Below- close up view of storm early this a.m. - over the Adirondacks with pressure below 29.00". Be safe.
Satellite- radar shows winter storm in Great Lakes which is bringing snow to Minnesota & Wisconsin. That system will bring heavy rain and wind to Mid Atlantic and Northeast Sunday and Monday. Many places will get 1-3" of rain....coastal New England could see winds over 50 mph. Below...animate maps for next couple of days. Below - predictions of rainfall over the next 7 days. Below - Atlantic basin - disturbance south of Cuba gets entrained with storm in Great Lakes giving the potential for heavy rain in Northeast .
Be safe. Satellite+ radar shows rain in New England.....rain and snow Upper Midwest...otherwise calm and quiet. Below - animated maps for next couple of days. Storm that is bringing snow in Midwest will head east and intensify. A tropical disturbance cutting across Cuba will get pulled north and all should come together for a powerhouse storm for Northeast Sunday into Monday with wind and heavy rain. Some places could see up to 5" of rain with flooding. Below - the 3 main models and how they see the storm on Sunday. Below- current tropical basin. 40% chance of forming into a depression.
Be safe. Cold front along east coast will continue to funnel rain from New England to Florida. Rest of the Nation - quiet. Below - animated maps for the next 2 days. Storm in Great Lakes by Friday will head east and become a real wind and rain producer for The East Coast. Many places will see a couple of inches of rain as it teams up with tropical moisture to the south. Below- rainfall for next 7 days. Below - expected daytime temperatures for next Tuesday for trick-or treaters for Halloween. Be safe.
Strong cold front barrels to east coast with wind - rain - thunderstorms...that could be severe. Windy - rainy- chilly weather for Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Very hot for World Series...game time temps will be in the mid 90s. Below - today's risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow. Below - animated maps for next 2 days. Another strong storm heads east this weekend and it could pick up a tropical disturbance in the south and bring it north. This would mean more heavy rain for mid Atlantic and Northeast Sunday. Below - expected rainfall amounts over next 7 days. Hurricane center watching an area south of Cuba....giving it 50% chance of developing within the next 5 days. If it were to form...it would be given the name Phillipe. Be safe.
Satellite-radar shows strong cold front from Lakes to Florida. It will move east over the next two days and offshore. Showers in Dakotas bringing in chilly air there....hot out west. Below - outlook for severe weather today in dark green and yellow. Below - animate maps for the next couple of days. Tropics are quiet....but below - hurricane center watching one area. This area is still being projected by Canadian model to produce a significant cyclone by weekend.
Satellite & Radar show some rain in Texas...and Pacific Northwest. These areas will combine and move east but not before bringing severe weather tomorrow to Plains and heavy rains to East next week. Heat and Fire Dancer will return to S.California next week. Below....severe outlook for Saturday....dark green - yellow - show greatest threats. Below - rainfall amounts expected over the next 7 days. Below - animated maps for the weekend. Finally..how much stock do we put in The Canadian Model ? It continues to show a tropical cyclone hitting Florida next weekend. The model has
not been the greatest with tropical systems this year....but then again..it has been a strange one. Below...this model for next Saturday. We'll keep an eye on it. Be safe. Not much happening on satellite & radar except in Northwest. That trend continues but will change big time by late weekend. Below...current weather map following by animated maps for next couple. Below- upper wind flow-jet stream for early next week. This trof will eject moiosture out of the Gulf of Mexico and bring in cold air over the Great Lakes. Result - heavy rains for The East - snowshowers Great Lakes. Below - rainfall projections for next 7 days. Be safe.
Satellite - radar shows dry quiet weather most places.....exception...Florida. Below...animated maps for the next 2 days. Above...maps show storms hitting the Northwest...reaching as far south as No. California. Unsettled weather continue Florida...and then Texas. Below...rainfall projections for the next 5 days. Jet stream will change big time next week and it will inject moisture from the Gulf Northward...while some very chilly air comes south into the
Rockies and Plains. Below...rainfall projections for next Monday to Wednesday. Be safe. As you can see by this satellite-radar picture...not much going on. Wet weather continues in Florida. Cold weather has finally made it to the Northeast. Below...morning observed temperatures. Below- tropical system off East coast - will stay off the East coast. Following that....animated maps for the next couple of days. Below- rainfall projections for the next 5 days. Be safe.
Cool front moving off East Coast....otherwise very dry. Disturbance in Gulf of Mexico likely to bring wet weather to Florida. Below...current weather map animation for next 2 days. Below - how temperatures will average over the next 7 days: most will be above normal..... A look at early a.m. actual temperatures - below - bye Summer. Below - Opehlia - hits Ireland and UK today with strong winds and rain. Following- disturbance near Bahamas - moving north then northeast out into Ocean. Below - long range winter forecast for only The Northeast and Mid Atlantic....covering New England...NY Metro....Maryland & Delaware. A rough winter ! Martin Luther King Weekend – quiet, Valentine’s – fair, President’s Day Weekend – Get the shovel, 1st Day of Spring – wet.
JANUARY 2018 1st Wk Showers then windy and colder with a wintry mix late. 2nd Wk Windy-cold-snowshowers then partly sunny 3rd Wk Some rain then fair-cold – a chance of late week snow. 4th Wk Clouds, sun, flurries ? Last Few Cloudy- some rain a/o wet snow. FEBRUARY 2018 1st Few Sunny- cold 1st Wk Nor’easter – heavy snow – then windy- snowshowers 2nd Wk Partly sunny followed by another blast of snow 3rd Wk Lots of wind & cold. Last few Fair and cold then some moderation. MARCH 2018 1st Few Nor’easter – heavy snow 1st Wk Partly cloudy- windy – showers late week 2nd Wk Some showers & windy then some sun and milder 3rd Wk Rain could mix with or change to sleet and wet snow. 4th Wk Unsettled…showers from time to time. Satellite - radar shows a cold front over the Upper Midwest headed east. It will arrive along the East Coast by Monday. Prior to that - warmer weather for East. Below...today's risk of severe weather in dark green. Below- fire danger risk for Saturday.....red shows stronger chances. Next - animated maps for the next couple of days. Below- expected temperatures for next Friday.....clearly showing above normal for much of the Nation. Next - track of Ophelia - which will head for Ireland.....new disturbance in Atlantic should stay in the Ocean. Have a nice - safe weekend.
Satellite- radar shows weather system in Plains which will be the weather maker this week. It will head east and affect the Mid Atlantic and Southeast later this week. Otherwise - mild east then cool. Below...threat of severe weather today - dark green. Below - animated weather maps for the next two days. Unsettled east...fair west. Not much change into weekend. Below - a look at tropical storm Ophelia...with her track....likely to stay in Atlantic. AMEN ! Be safe.
Satellite + radar shows a front from New England to Texas where severe thunderstorms are possible in southern Plains today. Moisture is seen from Nate coming toward the SE Gulf. Nate will become a hurricane and likely make landfall close to New Orleans Saturday night - Sunday a.m. and then head northeast as a rainstorm into Monday. below - today's threat of severe weather - dark green to orange. Below - Nate's track by Hurricane Center and then computer models....followed by timeline for wind....and amounts of rainfall over next 5 days. Below - animated maps for the next couple of days. Be safe.
As tropical depression moves into Gulf...it will likely become Nate. All is not solid. This system will not be an easy one...just like all the rest...may have some real twists and turns. Moisture from the system will head northeast to affect the Eastern States early next week. Below...track..winds...amounts of rain next 5 days. Below - animated maps for next 2 days......outlook for severe weather today.....dark green. satellite - radar - showing cool front over Northeast......large area of rain Southeast. Be safe.
Next tropical problem is south of Cuba. Likely to become Nate by weekend. Track takes it into Gulf....shown below. After that...a rain maker for The East. Below - maps for the next couple of days. Below - temperatures across the Nation early this a.m. - Cold air in No. Rockies will move east...then into Canada and not likely to invade Northeast yet. Will post our long range Fall-winter forecast for the Northeast this Friday. Until then....be safe.
Animated maps for next couple show wet weather in Midwest - headed east and weakening and then reforming over The Plains. Wet soggy weather for Florida. Below.....Atlantic Basin. Looking at something developing in Gulf that could affect Southern U.S. later this week. Below - satellite-radar combo showing heavy rain in Upper Midwest. Following that....expected rainfall over next 5 days.
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We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.
Pat Pagano,
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