Hurricane Matthew is headed for a Cat 3 storm with over 100 mph winds....south of Haiti. He will continue west then turn north. Most models are taking him away from the N.Carolina coast next week and out to sea....but he needs to be watched carefully. Below....his track by The Hurricane Center. Below...The GFS Model - valid for late next week - shows Hurricane Matthew off N. Carolina and then it turns it out to sea. Most of the models do that...but hurricanes can do anything and it's too far out to call the shots at this time. Satellite - radar showing storm in Ohio Valley bringing the wet weather to the east all weekend. Below that....map for Saturday night. Below...map showing amounts of rain for the weekend.
0 Comments
Upper Air Low in Great Lakes causing rain there...while moisture expands over Carolinas and heads up the coast. Above...map for this evening showing pair of storms providing lots of grey wet weather for the East for several days. Above...map for Friday....not looking too different from tonight. Tropical system approaching Windwards will get named today...Matthew....and will likely become a major hurricane to affect Haiti- Cuba - and then U.S. next week. First...below...a close up look at this system- still getting it's act together. After that....a look at the various models. All models show this system to become intense.....timing is the problem. The Canadian...fastest and most troublesome....Euro...slowest.
Be safe. Cold front moving across East Coast with rain. Showers and cool Great Lakes....wet Texas. Weather map for Tuesday nite. Stalled front east coast to bring several days of rain there...and much needed. Below...map showing potential of excessive rainfall over next 3 days and possible flooding. Since weather systems stall....no much change expected into weekend. Below... rainfall projected for next 7 days. Below...first - look at tropical Atlantic. We are paying attention to system in south central Atlantic that will likely become the next tropical storm then hurricane and be given the name Matthew. This system will need to be watched as we expect it to become a formidable hurricane and could threaten The U.S. Below...a look at what the models are doing with this tropical system. Order - Canadian....GFS.....Euro. Be safe.
Sharp cold front in Midwest will head east and bring some rain to the East by Tuesday. Upper air storm in Minnesota will head south and stall and it could bring days of wet -much needed - weather to the East. Below...weather map for this evening showing cold front moving east. Below...a look at upper air for this Wednesday...showing upper low over Ohio Valley. Following picture is the upper air for this Saturday. Don't see much change ? Exactly...so weather will not change. Below...how will the above yupper air transcribe to the surface. Map for this Friday. Following picture - amount of rainfall into midweek. Lastly, a look at the tropics. Wave in south central Atlantic is forecast to become a major hurricane by several models and threaten the Eastern Seaboard. Much too early to speculate but needs to be watched. If it does form...it would be given the name....Matthew ! Be safe.
Cold front moving into Northeast with showers in New England. Storm in Rockies will bring lots of rain out west this weekend with snow in higher elevations. Below....map showing these systems for Saturday night. Below...first map shows rainfall projections for the next 7 days. Following map - daytime temperatures for the week ahead - how they will average compared to normal. Have a nice weekend and be safe.
Satellite - radar map shows remains of Julia off the N.Carolina coast...not moving much. Thunderstorms Midwest with next cold front. Moisture from Paine in the Southwest. Today's severe threat in dark green and yellow. Tonight's weather map shows frontal system in Midwest working east - will bring a touch of Fall to a good chunk of Nation this weekend. Below...map showing daytime temperatures for next Wednesday...as Fall intensifies. Lastly - tropical basin - 2 storms - both will move north then northeast and only Karl may skirt Bermuda. Be safe.
One front along east coast...another through the Great Lakes. Moisture from "Paine" for Southwest. Front coming down out of Central Canada will bring a fall feeling in the air to much of Nation by this weekend. Below...daytime temperatures for this Sunday. Tropical Atlantic....Karl....will turn north then northeast in Central Atlantic...while tropical depression will do the same.
Be safe. Satellite shows front with much needed rain for the Northeast. Quiet elsewhere. Below...weather map for this evening showing the front and wet weather east. Below that map - severe weather outlook today in dark green and yellow. First significant widespread rain for Northeast and Mid Atlantic. Below..forecast amounts. Below...tropical Atlantic. Julia will weaken in time. Karl and depression off Africa will move west - northwest then take a turn north and northeast. Karl could affect Bermuda later this week. Tropical storm Paine in the Pacific will head north across Baja and could bring much needed rain to So. California. Finally - a look at projected high temperatures for this Thursday...as Fall Arrives. Be Safe.
Tropical Storm Julia still meandering off the Carolias. Should weaken with time. Below...broadview look at the Atlantic Basin. Tropical storm Karl off Africa will head west....needs to be watched. A look at weather map for Saturday night - shows another cold front headed for the East Coast....and this one should bring some much needed rain to the east. Expected day time temperature for next Friday....first full day of Fall 2016. Finally...Euro model for 10 days out.....showing a significant cooling off trend for the Nation. Have a nice and safe weekend.
Satellite shows Julia off Carolinas...another cold front moving out of The Rockies. Rain from Julia along the Carolinas....showers and storms across the Plains due to cold front. Below...threat of severe weather today in dark green and yellow. Below..look at the tropics: first broad picture showing all in Atlantic. Thereafter...Julia and track....Tropical depression far out in Atlantic and it's track....needs to be watched. Finally...National Weather Service outlook for temperatures through Sept. 28th. Not too wintry yet. Enjoy full harvest moon tonight and tomorrow night. Be safe.
Julia formed near the Georgia coast over night with 40-50 mph winds. She is expected to become a depression and drift north across Eastern Georgia with lots of rain. Track below. Typhoon Meranti heads for China coast- Weakened somewhat but still a very dangerous storm. Satellite below. Current map showing cold front crossing Great Lakes. Showers will head east and affect some parts of the Northeast. Severe threat for weather today....marginal in a few spots.
Be safe. Meranti - winds gusts up to 225mph is headed for Taiwan, China. Below...expected track. Back in the Atlantic Basin...tropical storm Ian will stay out in Atlantic . Disturbance off Florida shows little potential. System off Africa has a better chance to mature. Below...current map showing cold front moving across Great Lakes.....satellite picture below...does not show much moisture with this front. Lastly....how temperatures will average over the next 7 days.
Be safe. Hurricane Orleane - off Baja moving west. Could pose a threat to Hawaii. Below...Atlantic basin. System in central Atlantic expected to turn north and stay away from land. Wider look at Orlene in Pacific. Weather map for tonight...showing one cold front off Carolinas..and another moving through Midwest. Behind each...surges of cooler air. Below...satellite picture showing both of these fronts. Lastly...early morning temps. Touch of fall in air northern sections. Be safe.
Cold front over Midwest causing showers and storms will work east and be off the East Coast Sunday. Weather map for tonight shows cold front in Great Lakes and headed east. Meanwhile Very warm and humid ahead of that front. Above...next Thursday....nice cool down for a good portion of Nation. Below.....tropical disturbance off Africa being watched...but a couple of other areas will also need watching. Can you pick them out ?
Post tropical Hermine is some 120 miles southeast of Montauk, N.Y. moving toward the west northwest with 50 mph winds. Coastal areas from NYC to Cape Cod will see clouds,..winds..and showers for the next day or two until it weakens and moves back out over the Atlantic. Map for tonight shows Hermine off Long Island, NY - while Hurricane Newtown moves up Baja Ca. Rain from Newtown works northeast across the Plains with another front. Below...threat of severe weather today in dark green and yellow. Below....picture of Hurricane Newtown....followed by another area of interest near Puerto Rico. Below you will find amounts of rainfall for the next 7 days followed by how temperatures will average over the next week or so. Looks warm East...cool west and wet in several places.
Be safe. Hermine made landfall overnight over Florida Panhandle near St. Mark with 86 mph winds. She is now a tropical storm and may hold on to that status all the way up the coast. When getting to Mid Atlantic coast the storm will either stall or meander and batter that area for many days next week. Here is the expected track. Below...today's threat for severe weather in dark green and yellow. The following maps show weather systems for tonight and Saturday night.....with emphasis on the east coast Tropical Storm. Below....expected temperatures by the end of next week....heating up east....cooling down west. Be safe..have an enjoyable holiday weekend.
|
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.
Pat Pagano,
|