A wavy front extends from New England to Southern Plains. Eastern part of front drops down to Mid Atlantic...allowing for improving weather in Northeast Monday-Tuesday.....while western end of the front continues to cause storms into the 4th. Below...find severe risk for today & Saturday. Below...today's weather map. Following....GFS Model for each evening to July 4th. Above - Saturday evening. Green shows moisture - indicating showers and thunderstorms. Find your area...and read it and weep or smile. Above - Sunday evening. Above - Monday evening Above - Tuesday evening - the 4th. Be safe and have a nice holiday weekend.
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Satellite - radar shows a front from Great Lakes to Central Plains. This front will be draped from Northeast to Plains through July 4th. It will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms especially to it's south. Below..today's severe risk of severe weather - dark green and yellow. Above - current surface map. Below - weather map in motion for next couple. Current satellite of Atlantic basin. Although quiet...system off African coast needs to be watched but many days away from The U.S. Be safe.
Above...satellite + radar shows stormy weather in upper Midwest. That area will elongate and stretch out to Northern New England - back through Midwest over next few days. Below - current weather map followed by map for severe weather - dark green and yellow - orange. Below - maps for amounts of rainfall over the next 7 days....includes the entire holiday weekend...followed by "how temperatures will average" for the next week. Below ..sequence weather maps for next couple.....followed by a broadview of Atlantic Basin...showing tropical waves from Africa to Gulf of Mexico. Be safe.
A front in the east will cause some showers in Northeast today. Showers and storms along the Gulf Coast...more showers Northern Rockies. Below...today's weather map followed by the threat map for severe weather - dark green and yellow. Below...sequence of weather for the next couple of days. Below...Atlantic basin potential for forming tropical systems...off African coast. Followed by current track for Hurricane Dora in the Pacific. Lastly - projected high temperatures for July 4th - 2017. Be safe.
A trof is the East will keep them fair - seasonable with some pop up showers and thundershowers in Northeast. Storms in Texas...showers in Pacific Northwest and Great Lakes. Below - today's weather map. Below - today's severe risk of storms - dark green. Above - weather map in motion. Below - Hurricane Dora....Pacific.
Satellite-radar shows storms with a front from Great Lakes to Midwest..and left over rain from Cindy Mid Atlantic to Gulf. Above - current weather map.....below - risk of severe weather in dark green and yellow...followed by rain threat from Cindy. Below - hurricane hazard map - depicting best areas for hurricanes now. Below - weather map for Saturday....so you can plan your outdoor activities accordingly. Map below shows upper air for next week. Jet stream flattens out...allowing for heat to stay in south....and seasonable weather most elsewhere. Have a safe weekend.
Tropical storm Cinda made landfall over SW Louisiana - now has 40 mph winds and lots of rain. Should continue as a depression into Ohio Valley through Friday. See track below....followed by severe outlook for today. Todays map shows wet weather with Cindy in Gulf States toOhio Valley
- yellow showing severe storms.....red - flash flooding. Below...upper air flow for next week which shows trof over East....cooler....ridge over West - hot. Be safe. Tropical Storm Cindy with 60 mph winds heads for Louisana.....life threatening rains for parts of the Gulf Coast. Below- Cindy's track. Below - marine concerns with Cindy. Below - today's weather map followed by threat of severe weather in dark green and yellow. Below - rainfall totals for the next 7 days - followed by how temperatures will average for the rest of June. Lastly - a look at the national satellite and radar. Be safe.
Satellite above shows 2 tropical disturbances: 1 - Brett - Windward Islands..... 2 - In Gulf of Mexico - headed north - producing wet weather through Gulf States and soon to be named Cindy. Below...immediate tracks.....followed by long range tracks. ( Brett then Cindy) Below - today's map - followed by risk of severe weather in green and yellow. Tropical system in Gulf will head north and it's moisture does likewise and then turns eastward....perhaps bringing tropical flooding rains to Mid Atlantic this weekend. Be safe.
The East Coast under the gun today for severe weather from Maine to N.Carolina. Some tornadoes are also possible. Below - current satellite and radar which already shows action in the East...so with sun...it should only get worse. Above - amounts of rainfall expected over the next 24 hours. Below - today's weather map showing severe weather in yellow...and flash flooding in red. Below - Atlantic Basin: 2 systems....1 in the Gulf which could become Brett..2nd - in Carribean which should become Cindy. Their expected tracks are listed as well. Be safe.
Satellite-radar shows 2 bands of moisture over Eastern half of the nation which will haunt them all weekend. Very hot weather takes over in Southwest. Below....risk of severe weather today in dark green - yellow and orange. Above - today's weather map. Below - rainfall for Sunday - dad's day...looks like Appalachians get the brunt of it. Below - how temperatures will average over the next 7 days....above normal - most of the Nation - followed by tropical basic outlook...which is zooming in on the Gulf of Mexico. Be safe...Happy Father's Day to all our dads.
Today's map shows lots of cloudy - showery weather with the exception of the Northeast and Southwest. Below - best threat of severe weather today. Satellite- radar shows thunderstorms in Midwest - headed east. Below - map for Saturday....showing extensive chance for showers over the Nation.....not much better for Sunday. Below - rainfall expected for the next 7 days. Stay safe.
Cooler air spreading into Northeast. Thunderstorms Midwest. Heat builds in Southwest. Below - today's severe threat - yellow- orange - greatest risk. Below - today's weather map.....followed by current temperatures. Notice how much cooler it is in The Northeast...after places like Newark N.J. hit 99 yesterday. Lastly - a look at the Atlantic tropical basin showing a disturbance off the African coast. Mighty early in the season for something in that area...although chances are low...we will watch it. Be safe.
Storms in Great Lakes move to Northeast and end the heatwave there. Strong storms Rockies into Upper Midwest today. Below - severe risk for today.....dark green to orange. Below - today's weather map and today's expected high temperatures. Most of the Nation - hot. Since last week the Canadian Model has been forecasting either a tropical storm or hurricane to hit the Gulf Coast about 1 week from now. Below is the latest Canadian Model for next Wednesday. No other model doing such...so this will be a good test for tropical forecasting and models. Be safe.
Satellite-radar picture shows soggy weather in The Southeast...heavy storms Great Lakes and Northern Rockies. Elsewhere - summertime. Below...early morning Monday temperatures.....already quite warm and the sun still not up. Below - today's risk of severe weather. Dark green - yellow to orange. Best chance of severe weather today into Rockies. Today's weather map showing best chance of rain and storms in Northern Rockies and Plains. Below...a short-lived cool down for the Northeast come Thursday/Friday. Below - GFS Model for Saturday. Looks very unsettled for the Eastern Half of the Nation. Be safe.
Coastal low bringing wet weather to New England...some storms Texas and Northern Rockies. Below - today's weather map......showing warmth over much of the Nation. Don't expect the weather to change much through the weekend. Below - today's risk of severe weather - again dark green and yellow. Below - high temperatures expected for this coming Monday - and next Friday. Notice the cool down on a National basis. Finally - a look at Atlantic Basin - all is quiet in the tropics but models still showing something in the Gulf by last weekend of June...we'll see. Have a nice weekend - stay cool.
Small low over Carolinas will slide offshore and then warm summertime weather will cover the Eastern 2/3 of the Nation. Below....today's weather map. Below - high temperatures expected for Monday and Tuesday of next week. Below - how daytime temps will average over thenext 7 days. Red - above - blue - below. Map below shows the upper air out through the next week. Trof or jet is out west.....(cooler) - ridge east - (warmer). Be safe.
The cool wet system in Northeast is finally dying out. Wet for Florida..but elsewhere ....summerlike. Below...threat of severe weather today....dark green....just marginal...but still a threat. Below ...a look at the UK Model for this Monday. Bermuda high across the Atlantic just feeding the hot weather across the U.S. Below...high temperatures for this coming Monday. Finally...a look at the Atlantic hurricane basin.....all is quiet. Be safe.
Notice the circular motion in the Northeast....and another one over Louisiana. The 2 bringing cool wet weather to the east. If the southern system heads up the coast...the week could end wet. More on that shortly. Below...today's weather map.... Below - GFS Model - upper air for Friday. Such an upper air pattern would lean toward an ocean storm.......which is depicted by the Euro...the following map. By late week and early next week - summer weather should cover much of the East. Below - map showing projected high temperatures for next Monday...which we think are underplayed. So...have patience. Be safe.
Wet - cool - damp weather for much of the East....but sunny and summerlike central. Below - today's weather map showing showers for the eastern half of The Nation. Above - today's risk of severe weather.....dark green and yellow. Below - amount of rainfall expected this week. Below - current temperatures (a.m.) followed by the upper air pattern for the week. The closed low over the East is the problem which is causing cool damp weather there. Be safe.
System moving through Rockies will combine with moisture in south and bring lots of rain to The East by late weekend and early next week. Below - .current map for today. Below - weather map for Sunday. You can see the wet weather headed eastbound. Following that map - today's threat for severe weather...only marginal - dark green. Be safe and have a nice weekend.
We can still see the trof in the East....but things have gotten drier. Most of the rain will be in the southern third. Below....today's weather map followed by chance of severe - which today is only marginal and in dark green shading. Below - GFS Model for Monday. Another very wet system. Below - amounts of rain expected Sunday through Tuesday. Lastly - a tropical depression formed in the Pacific...but should head into Gulf of Mexico and become an Atlantic disturbance. Be safe.
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We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.
Pat Pagano,
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