through the NE today. Second one in Plains brings some snow to Midwest tonight...and rain and snow to the NE Wednesday.
Satellite shows weather systems moving rapidly. First one kicks showers through the NE today. Second one in Plains brings some snow to Midwest tonight...and rain and snow to the NE Wednesday. Tonight's map shows snow in the No. Plains...rain in So. Plains...mostof which is light. More significant rainand wind for the Pacific NW. Above...amounts of precip. for the next week. Heaviest out west....lightest central. Below...how daytime temps. will average over the next week. Most of the Nation - red - above. Be safe.
0 Comments
Satellite shows the more significant weather systems to be off the east coast and just entering the west coast. The system out west will be the next weather maker by mid part of next week. Map for Saturday. System in Rockies will head east and be the next major player Tuesday thru Thursday next week with again...more rain than snow. Below...the different or similar takes by our models on next week's storm. Have a safe weekend.
Big storm heading up into Canada. Backlash snows in Great Lakes...rain and storms heading off New England. Rest of the nation...quiet. Map above for today showing big wind storm in Northeast with rain and snowshowers. Below...next big storm is for next Thursday. Below...3 models and their guess. GFS: Canadian: Euro. Below - high temperatures for this Sunday...then high temperatures for next Thursday when storm is hitting the East.
Stay safe. Intense storm in Western Tennessee Wednesday morning will head northeast. It will bring heavy snow as far west as Chicago....possibly severe thunderstorms along the east coast as far north and NYC tonight. Wind and rain will also be widespread along east coast. Quiet elsewhere. Weather map for this evening....showing storm in Ohio. Below...risk of severe weather today and tonight. Below....amounts of rain (snow) expected with storm today and tonight. Below...how temperatures will average between March 2 - 8- 2016. Be safe. Later.
Front with rain across Gulf States. Energy coming down Rockies will instigate a storm in Gulf States which will take off and head across the Eastern Great Lakes as a wind - and everything storm. Today's weather map: rainy front in south just waiting to form storm that will take up northeast. Below...map showing storm on Thursday. Rain...windy...thunderstorms to the east....snow..to west...like Michigan. Below...amounts of precip. that will fall with this storm from Wednesday into Thursday. West third of this will fall as snow...which could be easily over 1 foot. LAstly...amounts of precip. that will fall right through the end of the month. Be safe.
Satellite shows waves of Pacific energy moving from west to east ....giving the nation quick changes this weekend. A more pronounced wave will trigger a storm early next week from Gulf to East coast. Below....weather map for today....showing a windy front passing through Great Lakes and storminess begin to shape out west. Below...models and their take on storm. GFS is much too fast. Canadian wants to have more than 1 storm. Euro is too slow and UKMET is too far west. Pick your choice. Thinking is for mainly rain for big cities...wet snow for Appalachians Tues.nite into Wednesday. Below are 3 of the different ensemble members which gives even more choices....but in this type of situation we cannot look for these models to solve small details until we get closer to the event. Have a nice weekend.
Satellite shows energy and moisture with the jet flowing over ridge out west. This pattern will have some subtle changes next week when we expect stormy weather from the Gulf states to head for the East...again. No.American surface map shows high pressure from NW Canada down to Great Lakes with stormy weather in the Pacific NW. Quiet pattern until storms in the NW head southeast...which is Tues-Thurs of next week. Above...projection of how daytime temperatures will average through Feb. 27th. Notice...lack of real cold air...thus storms may be more liquid than white. Below...what the long range prediction center projects for the storm on next Wed/Thursday. Above...map represents the flow and temp. at 5000ft. green is
warm enough for rain....blue - snow. Based on this...snow would fall over Appalachians and west...while big cities get rain. I tend to think this is correct. Below...various models and their projections for this storm next week. Be safe. Satellite shows one system moving off East Coast...other on West Coast. Much of the Nation...quiet....should stay that way until early next week when stormy weather could again gather for the East. Today's weather map....lake effect snow in Great Lakes. Rain for the Pacific Northwest....elsewhere...fair. Below...models showing their take on possible storm next Wednesday. They are all over the place....so time will tell. No need to worry about that now...1 week away....enjoy the calm conditions.
Satellite shows large trof in the East with warming and rain and wind. System moving through central US will weaken out. New system in Northwest will head across the US - Canadian border as a real big wind bag and some showers. Wet storm heads across New England tonight with rain....snow in it's wake. System over Tenn. Valley has some rain and snow...but dampens out. Cold front in Great Lakes brings seasonably chilly air to the East for late week. Map above is upper air...for next week. Ridge out west with orange...means warmer.... trof in east with blue...means colder. Below...graph showing progress of El Nino since last fall.... not much change. Below...models for next Wednesday. They are all hinting at some storm for the East....but not together at all...which is typical. That should be the next big event....aside from the minor event next Monday. Be safe.
Early morning satellite - radar shows snow over the Mid Atlantic and it will push north and bring snow to New England today...most of which will be light. Snow changes to a wintry mix this evening and then all rain in the Northeast. Western NY and PA will not be as lucky where they can see up to 8" of snow. Early morning temperatures are still very cold in New England....thus reason for snow there and now in Mid Atlantic followed by ice. Above...current watches and warnings. Below....map for this evening explaining why there are so many. Tonight...winter storm is in Alabama and moving northeast. Below....map for Tuesday afternoon....showing the storm moving up through the Northern Appalachians. Below...map depicting the expected upper air flow for the start of March. This is called a split flow...with a trof sliding underneath a ridge. Not a good pattern. The ridge supplies cold air on the ground....while the trof supplies the movement of
warmer moist air up and over the cold air. For now...be safe today. The light blue over Central Canada is the polar vortex...which is forcing arctic air south. Below...Friday morning temperatures and they will be even colder this weekend. Map above is for late Saturday. "H" indicates the center of the arctic air. Good snows for Northern Plains...back into the Northwest. Lake effect snows will hit the Northeast. Above...GFS Model showing storm for late Tuesday...nearing New York City. Flooding rains and wind from New England on south with heavy wet snow from Northern Appalachians to The Adirondacks of NYS.....where snow will be measured in feet. Below...amounts of precip. expected with this storm early next week. Below....models and how they project next week's storm....followed by a wind chill chart for you to use this weekend. Be safe...stay warm.
Satellite shows a lack of moisture nation-wide due the the flooding of cold arctic air. That will change with a major winter storm for the east early next week. Morning temperatures....... notice 25 below in Minnesota... that's headed east and south. Map for this evening.....snow confined to east of the Great Lakes and in The Dakotas. Below....the various models and how they are dealing with potential winter storm for Tues/Wed of next week. Too early to pick...but it should be a mess.
Satellite picture shows the jet stream dropping south into Gulf States so...the delivery of arctic air has begun. This weekend..the coldest air of the season will be over the Northeast and Mid Atlantic. As the air tries to retreat early next week....widespread wintry problems will take hold along the eastern seaboard. Early morning temperatures already below zero in Northern Plains....a sign of things to come for most. Below...weather map for this evening...showing the cold air pushing down from the Plains and lake effect snow in Great Lakes. Above...projection of morning low temperatures this Sunday....
they can even have frozen orange juice for breakfast in Florida. Below...upper air maps: first one showing the upper pattern for this weekend...allowing arctic air to flow down from North Pole. second map - upper air map for end of February....showing a similar pattern to begin to take shape...which would lead us into March on a cold wintry note. Go slow and be safe. You don't have to be a meteorologist to spot a very intense storm off N.Carolina. This storm will bring blizzard conditions to Eastern most Long Island and Cape Cod area today. ANother strong trof noted but the "U" shaped black area. This will serve to bring down some very cold air to the Northeast this weekend. Weather map for Monday Afternoon....showing intense storm just off New England with snow there. Storm in Great Lakes bringing more snow and a turn to cold arectic air. West is quiet. Below...models for this coming Saturday. All in pretty close agreement except the Euro. It wants to bring a snowstorm to the Northeast again.....but it's all by itself. I will show you a close up on The Euro for Saturday after the series of models. Be safe..later.
Another winter storm for the northeast. Rain changes to snow with 2"-4" from Delaware north. 4"-8" Eastern Long ISland to Boston. Swirl seen in Plains will head south and be a big storm off the Southeastern Coast this weekend. System in Northwest will be another winter storm for Northeast next week. Map above for this evening. Storm moving off Nova Scotia taking snow with it. snowshowers Great Lakes. New system in Northwest will become the next major winter storm. Below...the various models projecting Tuesday's winter storm. They are reasonably close...but details still need to be worked out. Lastly - a very early look at what the GFS Model is projecting for snowfall with next week's storm. Have a super- weekend.
Winter storm in Midwest dropped 30-40" of snow in Rockies and snarled traffic in Midwest. Rain and storms from Gulf States to Northeast. Map above is for this evening. Storm is in upper Gt. Lakes headed into Canada as its associated cold front heads for the east coast. Next system approaches the Northwest and it has eyes on deep south. Amounts of precipitation expected with the 2 systems. Very heavy rains for Florida Panhandle. Threat of some severe weather today in dark green area. Upper air pattern expected next week which shows the polar vortex over Hudson Bay in Canada and a strong ridge in Western Canada up to Alaska. This pattern means that the arctic flood gates will again open....so next week will be anything for quiet. This is what the upper air is projected to look like next Tues/Wed. Such a pattern would mean storminess along the coast. Below...The GFS model for this period....then the Euro.Both indicating snow and cold for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast and more. Be safe.
Major Winter Storm in Plains will head up to the Great Lakes. North and West of the track...snow...with blizzard conditions. To east of the storm...mild with rain and thunderstorms. Map for tonight...showing winter storm heading into Great Lakes. East of the track...rain....north and west - it's snow. Snowshowers across The Rockies. Below - amount of precipitation expected with this storm. Sometime from late this Sunday night...into Monday....a storm
should form in the Gulf and head for East Coast. Too early to call the shots on exact track....so below....the view of our models.....take your pick. Be safe. A weak cold front moves through the Eastern States today with a few showers. Big winter storm in the SOuthwest heads for the Great Lakes....Rockies and Plains get heavy snow and high winds. Map above is valid for Monday evening. Storm in Southern Plains producing snow and wind from Rockies into Plains. Some showers Mid Atlantic. Below....current warnings and watches in effect...includes blizzard warnings for parts of the Midwest. Below...amounts of precipitation expected with Plains' storm mid week. Most - if not all - along east coast is rain. Colder weather will move in most places for late week...but the true arctic air remains locked in Canada for now. Be safe.
|
We'll have daily weather discussions, talking about major systems on the horizon along with anything noteworthy that pops up on our radar.
Pat Pagano,
|